Current forecast models from sources including GFS and national agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 25–26°C for Munich on September 16, 2026, driven by a warm air mass ahead of an approaching frontal system with scattered thunderstorms expected later in the day. This exceeds the historical mid-September average high of roughly 19–20°C. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with winds shifting westerly and precipitation unlikely to suppress the daytime peak significantly. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 25°C (29.5%) and 26°C (40.0%) to reflect this narrow range, while assigning minimal odds to extremes above 27°C or below 24°C given stable steering patterns and no major model shifts in the past 48 hours. Updated runs tomorrow morning will provide the final data before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on September 16?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 16?
26°C 40%
25°C 23%
27°C 19%
24°C 11%
НОВЕ
$10,732 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,732 Обс.
Sep 16, 2026
23°C or below
5%
24°C
11%
25°C
23%
26°C
40%
27°C
19%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 40%
25°C 23%
27°C 19%
24°C 11%
НОВЕ
$10,732 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,732 Обс.
Sep 16, 2026
23°C or below
$944 Обс.
5%
24°C
$617 Обс.
11%
25°C
$1,954 Обс.
23%
26°C
$2,039 Обс.
40%
27°C
$1,420 Обс.
19%
28°C
$1,075 Обс.
3%
29°C
$137 Обс.
1%
30°C
$223 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$986 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$640 Обс.
<1%
33°C or higher
$697 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS and national agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 25–26°C for Munich on September 16, 2026, driven by a warm air mass ahead of an approaching frontal system with scattered thunderstorms expected later in the day. This exceeds the historical mid-September average high of roughly 19–20°C. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with winds shifting westerly and precipitation unlikely to suppress the daytime peak significantly. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 25°C (29.5%) and 26°C (40.0%) to reflect this narrow range, while assigning minimal odds to extremes above 27°C or below 24°C given stable steering patterns and no major model shifts in the past 48 hours. Updated runs tomorrow morning will provide the final data before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$10,732Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS and national agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 25–26°C for Munich on September 16, 2026, driven by a warm air mass ahead of an approaching frontal system with scattered thunderstorms expected later in the day. This exceeds the historical mid-September average high of roughly 19–20°C. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with winds shifting westerly and precipitation unlikely to suppress the daytime peak significantly. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 25°C (29.5%) and 26°C (40.0%) to reflect this narrow range, while assigning minimal odds to extremes above 27°C or below 24°C given stable steering patterns and no major model shifts in the past 48 hours. Updated runs tomorrow morning will provide the final data before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$10,732Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including GFS and national agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 25–26°C for Munich on September 16, 2026, driven by a warm air mass ahead of an approaching frontal system with scattered thunderstorms expected later in the day. This exceeds the historical mid-September average high of roughly 19–20°C. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with winds shifting westerly and precipitation unlikely to suppress the daytime peak significantly. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 25°C (29.5%) and 26°C (40.0%) to reflect this narrow range, while assigning minimal odds to extremes above 27°C or below 24°C given stable steering patterns and no major model shifts in the past 48 hours. Updated runs tomorrow morning will provide the final data before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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