The market's near-certain positioning on a 26°C high for Mexico City on September 16 reflects official maximum temperature observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and local station networks, which recorded that peak amid typical late-summer conditions. Mid-September climatology shows average daily highs near 24–25°C, with variability driven by urban heat island effects, humidity, and regional pressure patterns; the confirmed value aligns with model consensus from the prior days' forecasts. Trader consensus incorporates these verified measurements rather than projections, though rare post-event data revisions or station discrepancies could theoretically alter the record. Upcoming monthly climate summaries from national agencies will provide final validation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 16?
26°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$31,115 Обс.
$31,115 Обс.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$31,115 Обс.
$31,115 Обс.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The market's near-certain positioning on a 26°C high for Mexico City on September 16 reflects official maximum temperature observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and local station networks, which recorded that peak amid typical late-summer conditions. Mid-September climatology shows average daily highs near 24–25°C, with variability driven by urban heat island effects, humidity, and regional pressure patterns; the confirmed value aligns with model consensus from the prior days' forecasts. Trader consensus incorporates these verified measurements rather than projections, though rare post-event data revisions or station discrepancies could theoretically alter the record. Upcoming monthly climate summaries from national agencies will provide final validation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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