Recent forecasts from global models highlight uncertainty in peak temperatures for Mexico City on September 18, with northerly winds, extensive cloud cover, and scattered light rain or drizzle expected to moderate daytime heating at the city's high elevation. These conditions, tied to a passing weather system, limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling effects, keeping most guidance clustered between 22–25°C. The near-even split between 24°C and 25°C+ outcomes in trader consensus reflects model spread on cloud timing and any brief afternoon clearing, alongside historical September averages near 25°C. Updated runs from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional or ECMWF/GFS ensembles will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 18?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 18?
24°C 37%
25°C or higher 35%
23°C 20%
22°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
10%
23°C
20%
24°C
37%
25°C or higher
35%
24°C 37%
25°C or higher 35%
23°C 20%
22°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
$31 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$31 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$31 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$31 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$31 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$53 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$388 Обс.
1%
22°C
$407 Обс.
10%
23°C
$547 Обс.
20%
24°C
$624 Обс.
37%
25°C or higher
$973 Обс.
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models highlight uncertainty in peak temperatures for Mexico City on September 18, with northerly winds, extensive cloud cover, and scattered light rain or drizzle expected to moderate daytime heating at the city's high elevation. These conditions, tied to a passing weather system, limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling effects, keeping most guidance clustered between 22–25°C. The near-even split between 24°C and 25°C+ outcomes in trader consensus reflects model spread on cloud timing and any brief afternoon clearing, alongside historical September averages near 25°C. Updated runs from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional or ECMWF/GFS ensembles will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,147Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 8:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models highlight uncertainty in peak temperatures for Mexico City on September 18, with northerly winds, extensive cloud cover, and scattered light rain or drizzle expected to moderate daytime heating at the city's high elevation. These conditions, tied to a passing weather system, limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling effects, keeping most guidance clustered between 22–25°C. The near-even split between 24°C and 25°C+ outcomes in trader consensus reflects model spread on cloud timing and any brief afternoon clearing, alongside historical September averages near 25°C. Updated runs from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional or ECMWF/GFS ensembles will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,147Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 8:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models highlight uncertainty in peak temperatures for Mexico City on September 18, with northerly winds, extensive cloud cover, and scattered light rain or drizzle expected to moderate daytime heating at the city's high elevation. These conditions, tied to a passing weather system, limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling effects, keeping most guidance clustered between 22–25°C. The near-even split between 24°C and 25°C+ outcomes in trader consensus reflects model spread on cloud timing and any brief afternoon clearing, alongside historical September averages near 25°C. Updated runs from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional or ECMWF/GFS ensembles will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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