Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and models like GFS indicate mild overnight conditions for Helsinki on September 19, 2026, with projected lows near 13°C amid persistent southwesterly flow, moderate winds, and widespread cloud cover plus rain that limit radiative cooling. This setup aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 11–12°C outcomes, as traders incorporate ensemble guidance showing limited potential for clearer skies that could allow deeper drops. Historical September norms feature overnight minima around 8–10°C, but the current Atlantic-driven pattern has kept readings elevated, with minimal model spread on the minimum threshold and resolution criteria tied to official station observations. Upcoming model runs and FMI updates will refine any late adjustments ahead of the date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Helsinki on September 19?
12°C 47%
10°C 37%
9°C 36%
11°C 26%
7°C or below
9%
8°C
19%
9°C
36%
10°C
37%
11°C
26%
12°C
47%
13°C
19%
14°C
11%
15°C
7%
16°C
5%
17°C or higher
4%
12°C 47%
10°C 37%
9°C 36%
11°C 26%
7°C or below
9%
8°C
19%
9°C
36%
10°C
37%
11°C
26%
12°C
47%
13°C
19%
14°C
11%
15°C
7%
16°C
5%
17°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and models like GFS indicate mild overnight conditions for Helsinki on September 19, 2026, with projected lows near 13°C amid persistent southwesterly flow, moderate winds, and widespread cloud cover plus rain that limit radiative cooling. This setup aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 11–12°C outcomes, as traders incorporate ensemble guidance showing limited potential for clearer skies that could allow deeper drops. Historical September norms feature overnight minima around 8–10°C, but the current Atlantic-driven pattern has kept readings elevated, with minimal model spread on the minimum threshold and resolution criteria tied to official station observations. Upcoming model runs and FMI updates will refine any late adjustments ahead of the date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання