Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City’s overnight low on September 19 will likely fall between 11–14 °C, consistent with the city’s 2,240 m elevation and typical late-rainy-season radiative cooling under variable cloud cover. Light northerly winds and scattered showers are expected to limit extreme drops, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity moderate minimums near the official measurement site. Historical September lows average ~12–13 °C, with recent observations showing similar values. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–14 °C versus the 5 °C-or-below and 15 °C-or-higher tails reflects genuine model spread in exact timing of the minimum and sky cover, rather than any dominant cold-air outbreak or anomalous warming. Updated runs from regional and global ensembles will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 19?
5°C or below 82%
13°C 40%
10°C 39%
9°C 38%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
5°C or below
82%
6°C
2%
7°C
13%
8°C
13%
9°C
38%
10°C
39%
11°C
21%
12°C
22%
13°C
32%
14°C
30%
15°C or higher
31%
5°C or below 82%
13°C 40%
10°C 39%
9°C 38%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
5°C or below
$100 Обс.
82%
6°C
$0 Обс.
2%
7°C
$0 Обс.
13%
8°C
$0 Обс.
13%
9°C
$0 Обс.
38%
10°C
$0 Обс.
39%
11°C
$0 Обс.
21%
12°C
$0 Обс.
22%
13°C
$12 Обс.
32%
14°C
$0 Обс.
30%
15°C or higher
$0 Обс.
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City’s overnight low on September 19 will likely fall between 11–14 °C, consistent with the city’s 2,240 m elevation and typical late-rainy-season radiative cooling under variable cloud cover. Light northerly winds and scattered showers are expected to limit extreme drops, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity moderate minimums near the official measurement site. Historical September lows average ~12–13 °C, with recent observations showing similar values. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–14 °C versus the 5 °C-or-below and 15 °C-or-higher tails reflects genuine model spread in exact timing of the minimum and sky cover, rather than any dominant cold-air outbreak or anomalous warming. Updated runs from regional and global ensembles will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$111Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City’s overnight low on September 19 will likely fall between 11–14 °C, consistent with the city’s 2,240 m elevation and typical late-rainy-season radiative cooling under variable cloud cover. Light northerly winds and scattered showers are expected to limit extreme drops, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity moderate minimums near the official measurement site. Historical September lows average ~12–13 °C, with recent observations showing similar values. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–14 °C versus the 5 °C-or-below and 15 °C-or-higher tails reflects genuine model spread in exact timing of the minimum and sky cover, rather than any dominant cold-air outbreak or anomalous warming. Updated runs from regional and global ensembles will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$111Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City’s overnight low on September 19 will likely fall between 11–14 °C, consistent with the city’s 2,240 m elevation and typical late-rainy-season radiative cooling under variable cloud cover. Light northerly winds and scattered showers are expected to limit extreme drops, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity moderate minimums near the official measurement site. Historical September lows average ~12–13 °C, with recent observations showing similar values. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–14 °C versus the 5 °C-or-below and 15 °C-or-higher tails reflects genuine model spread in exact timing of the minimum and sky cover, rather than any dominant cold-air outbreak or anomalous warming. Updated runs from regional and global ensembles will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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