Latest Met Office and supporting model guidance indicate a high near 20–21°C for London on September 18 under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal precipitation risk, establishing the market’s leading 20°C outcome at 55.5% implied probability. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread around these values, with 21°C (26.5%) remaining plausible if daytime heating exceeds expectations and 19°C (16%) possible under greater cloud cover. Recent runs have converged on this range after earlier variability, though final resolution hinges on afternoon observations and any last-minute adjustments from the Met Office or ECMWF updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on September 18?
Highest temperature in London on September 18?
20°C 57%
21°C 27%
19°C 14%
18°C 2%
НОВЕ
$12,710 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,710 Обс.
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
14%
20°C
57%
21°C
27%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 57%
21°C 27%
19°C 14%
18°C 2%
НОВЕ
$12,710 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,710 Обс.
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
$197 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$251 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$131 Обс.
1%
18°C
$994 Обс.
2%
19°C
$2,511 Обс.
14%
20°C
$3,758 Обс.
57%
21°C
$2,374 Обс.
27%
22°C
$1,021 Обс.
1%
23°C
$657 Обс.
1%
24°C
$253 Обс.
<1%
25°C or higher
$562 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office and supporting model guidance indicate a high near 20–21°C for London on September 18 under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal precipitation risk, establishing the market’s leading 20°C outcome at 55.5% implied probability. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread around these values, with 21°C (26.5%) remaining plausible if daytime heating exceeds expectations and 19°C (16%) possible under greater cloud cover. Recent runs have converged on this range after earlier variability, though final resolution hinges on afternoon observations and any last-minute adjustments from the Met Office or ECMWF updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,710Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office and supporting model guidance indicate a high near 20–21°C for London on September 18 under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal precipitation risk, establishing the market’s leading 20°C outcome at 55.5% implied probability. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread around these values, with 21°C (26.5%) remaining plausible if daytime heating exceeds expectations and 19°C (16%) possible under greater cloud cover. Recent runs have converged on this range after earlier variability, though final resolution hinges on afternoon observations and any last-minute adjustments from the Met Office or ECMWF updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$12,710Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office and supporting model guidance indicate a high near 20–21°C for London on September 18 under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal precipitation risk, establishing the market’s leading 20°C outcome at 55.5% implied probability. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread around these values, with 21°C (26.5%) remaining plausible if daytime heating exceeds expectations and 19°C (16%) possible under greater cloud cover. Recent runs have converged on this range after earlier variability, though final resolution hinges on afternoon observations and any last-minute adjustments from the Met Office or ECMWF updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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