Recent heavy rainfall and lingering cloud cover across Chongqing have suppressed daytime highs while moderating overnight radiative cooling, keeping forecast minimum temperatures clustered near 20–23°C for September 19. Numerical weather prediction models show modest spread in low-level moisture and steering flow, with some runs favoring continued easterly moisture advection that could hold the daily minimum at or below 17°C, while others indicate partial clearing and slight warm advection that might push it above 20°C. This uncertainty, combined with the short lead time before resolution, produces closely balanced market-implied odds between cooler and warmer bins, reflecting traders’ assessment of ensemble divergence in boundary-layer conditions and frontal timing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 19?
17°C or below 100%
27°C or higher 94%
21°C 53%
22°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
17°C or below
100%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
53%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C or higher
94%
17°C or below 100%
27°C or higher 94%
21°C 53%
22°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Обс.
100%
18°C
$0 Обс.
39%
19°C
$0 Обс.
39%
20°C
$0 Обс.
39%
21°C
$10 Обс.
53%
22°C
$0 Обс.
40%
23°C
$0 Обс.
40%
24°C
$0 Обс.
39%
25°C
$0 Обс.
39%
26°C
$0 Обс.
39%
27°C or higher
$0 Обс.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and lingering cloud cover across Chongqing have suppressed daytime highs while moderating overnight radiative cooling, keeping forecast minimum temperatures clustered near 20–23°C for September 19. Numerical weather prediction models show modest spread in low-level moisture and steering flow, with some runs favoring continued easterly moisture advection that could hold the daily minimum at or below 17°C, while others indicate partial clearing and slight warm advection that might push it above 20°C. This uncertainty, combined with the short lead time before resolution, produces closely balanced market-implied odds between cooler and warmer bins, reflecting traders’ assessment of ensemble divergence in boundary-layer conditions and frontal timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$10Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and lingering cloud cover across Chongqing have suppressed daytime highs while moderating overnight radiative cooling, keeping forecast minimum temperatures clustered near 20–23°C for September 19. Numerical weather prediction models show modest spread in low-level moisture and steering flow, with some runs favoring continued easterly moisture advection that could hold the daily minimum at or below 17°C, while others indicate partial clearing and slight warm advection that might push it above 20°C. This uncertainty, combined with the short lead time before resolution, produces closely balanced market-implied odds between cooler and warmer bins, reflecting traders’ assessment of ensemble divergence in boundary-layer conditions and frontal timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$10Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall and lingering cloud cover across Chongqing have suppressed daytime highs while moderating overnight radiative cooling, keeping forecast minimum temperatures clustered near 20–23°C for September 19. Numerical weather prediction models show modest spread in low-level moisture and steering flow, with some runs favoring continued easterly moisture advection that could hold the daily minimum at or below 17°C, while others indicate partial clearing and slight warm advection that might push it above 20°C. This uncertainty, combined with the short lead time before resolution, produces closely balanced market-implied odds between cooler and warmer bins, reflecting traders’ assessment of ensemble divergence in boundary-layer conditions and frontal timing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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