Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and GFS runs show Wellington's peak temperature on September 19 likely reaching 15°C amid springtime southerly or variable flows, with daytime highs clustered near that level after overnight lows around 8–11°C. Northerly winds could briefly advect milder air to push the maximum toward 16°C, while stronger westerlies or cloud cover might cap it at 14°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–16°C reflects model consensus on these modest variations, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any frontal passage and peak insolation during the 24-hour period. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact diurnal maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on September 19?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 19?
16°C 60%
15°C 40%
17°C 19%
14°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
4%
12°C
4%
13°C
11%
14°C
16%
15°C
40%
16°C
60%
17°C
19%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 60%
15°C 40%
17°C 19%
14°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$0 Обс.
4%
12°C
$0 Обс.
4%
13°C
$0 Обс.
11%
14°C
$0 Обс.
16%
15°C
$0 Обс.
40%
16°C
$192 Обс.
60%
17°C
$0 Обс.
19%
18°C
$0 Обс.
2%
19°C
$0 Обс.
2%
20°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and GFS runs show Wellington's peak temperature on September 19 likely reaching 15°C amid springtime southerly or variable flows, with daytime highs clustered near that level after overnight lows around 8–11°C. Northerly winds could briefly advect milder air to push the maximum toward 16°C, while stronger westerlies or cloud cover might cap it at 14°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–16°C reflects model consensus on these modest variations, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any frontal passage and peak insolation during the 24-hour period. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact diurnal maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$182Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and GFS runs show Wellington's peak temperature on September 19 likely reaching 15°C amid springtime southerly or variable flows, with daytime highs clustered near that level after overnight lows around 8–11°C. Northerly winds could briefly advect milder air to push the maximum toward 16°C, while stronger westerlies or cloud cover might cap it at 14°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–16°C reflects model consensus on these modest variations, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any frontal passage and peak insolation during the 24-hour period. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact diurnal maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$182Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and GFS runs show Wellington's peak temperature on September 19 likely reaching 15°C amid springtime southerly or variable flows, with daytime highs clustered near that level after overnight lows around 8–11°C. Northerly winds could briefly advect milder air to push the maximum toward 16°C, while stronger westerlies or cloud cover might cap it at 14°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–16°C reflects model consensus on these modest variations, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any frontal passage and peak insolation during the 24-hour period. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact diurnal maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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