Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a daytime high of 24–27°C in Istanbul on September 19, driven by clearing skies and light northeasterly flow following several days of showers and below-normal temperatures. This setup favors modest diurnal warming under autumnal insolation, though persistent cloud cover or stronger northerly advection could cap readings near 22–23°C. Trader emphasis on the 20°C-or-below outcome at 49% implied probability likely reflects recent cool anomalies and forecast uncertainty this far out, while the clustered 20–23% odds across 21–29°C outcomes capture the typical spread in short-range temperature guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 19?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 19?
24°C 43%
23°C 40%
25°C 40%
26°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
20°C or below
4%
21°C
7%
22°C
22%
23°C
40%
24°C
43%
25°C
40%
26°C
39%
27°C
20%
28°C
8%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
2%
24°C 43%
23°C 40%
25°C 40%
26°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Обс.
4%
21°C
$0 Обс.
7%
22°C
$0 Обс.
22%
23°C
$3 Обс.
40%
24°C
$7 Обс.
43%
25°C
$0 Обс.
40%
26°C
$0 Обс.
39%
27°C
$0 Обс.
20%
28°C
$0 Обс.
8%
29°C
$0 Обс.
2%
30°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a daytime high of 24–27°C in Istanbul on September 19, driven by clearing skies and light northeasterly flow following several days of showers and below-normal temperatures. This setup favors modest diurnal warming under autumnal insolation, though persistent cloud cover or stronger northerly advection could cap readings near 22–23°C. Trader emphasis on the 20°C-or-below outcome at 49% implied probability likely reflects recent cool anomalies and forecast uncertainty this far out, while the clustered 20–23% odds across 21–29°C outcomes capture the typical spread in short-range temperature guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$10Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a daytime high of 24–27°C in Istanbul on September 19, driven by clearing skies and light northeasterly flow following several days of showers and below-normal temperatures. This setup favors modest diurnal warming under autumnal insolation, though persistent cloud cover or stronger northerly advection could cap readings near 22–23°C. Trader emphasis on the 20°C-or-below outcome at 49% implied probability likely reflects recent cool anomalies and forecast uncertainty this far out, while the clustered 20–23% odds across 21–29°C outcomes capture the typical spread in short-range temperature guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$10Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a daytime high of 24–27°C in Istanbul on September 19, driven by clearing skies and light northeasterly flow following several days of showers and below-normal temperatures. This setup favors modest diurnal warming under autumnal insolation, though persistent cloud cover or stronger northerly advection could cap readings near 22–23°C. Trader emphasis on the 20°C-or-below outcome at 49% implied probability likely reflects recent cool anomalies and forecast uncertainty this far out, while the clustered 20–23% odds across 21–29°C outcomes capture the typical spread in short-range temperature guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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