Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on a daytime high of 32–34°C in Guangzhou for September 17, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly flow, and minimal precipitation that limits daytime cooling. This setup supports the market’s heaviest weighting on 34°C (47.5%), with secondary probability on 35°C (20%) reflecting slight upside potential if insolation strengthens. The implied distribution sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 31.8°C, consistent with current regional warmth, while the low odds on 36°C or higher align with model consensus capping intensification. Final resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded by local stations before midnight local time.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 17?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 17?
34°C 58%
33°C 18%
35°C 14%
32°C 6%
НОВЕ
$10,242 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,242 Обс.
Sep 17, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
18%
34°C
58%
35°C
14%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
<1%
34°C 58%
33°C 18%
35°C 14%
32°C 6%
НОВЕ
$10,242 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,242 Обс.
Sep 17, 2026
27°C or below
$279 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$551 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$619 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$457 Обс.
1%
31°C
$332 Обс.
2%
32°C
$498 Обс.
6%
33°C
$935 Обс.
18%
34°C
$2,664 Обс.
58%
35°C
$2,065 Обс.
14%
36°C
$1,616 Обс.
4%
37°C or higher
$223 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on a daytime high of 32–34°C in Guangzhou for September 17, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly flow, and minimal precipitation that limits daytime cooling. This setup supports the market’s heaviest weighting on 34°C (47.5%), with secondary probability on 35°C (20%) reflecting slight upside potential if insolation strengthens. The implied distribution sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 31.8°C, consistent with current regional warmth, while the low odds on 36°C or higher align with model consensus capping intensification. Final resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded by local stations before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$10,242Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on a daytime high of 32–34°C in Guangzhou for September 17, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly flow, and minimal precipitation that limits daytime cooling. This setup supports the market’s heaviest weighting on 34°C (47.5%), with secondary probability on 35°C (20%) reflecting slight upside potential if insolation strengthens. The implied distribution sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 31.8°C, consistent with current regional warmth, while the low odds on 36°C or higher align with model consensus capping intensification. Final resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded by local stations before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$10,242Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on a daytime high of 32–34°C in Guangzhou for September 17, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly flow, and minimal precipitation that limits daytime cooling. This setup supports the market’s heaviest weighting on 34°C (47.5%), with secondary probability on 35°C (20%) reflecting slight upside potential if insolation strengthens. The implied distribution sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 31.8°C, consistent with current regional warmth, while the low odds on 36°C or higher align with model consensus capping intensification. Final resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded by local stations before midnight local time.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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