Recent forecast consensus from models including Met Office and ECMWF indicates a high near 24°C in Milan on September 17, driven by persistent easterly flow, high humidity near 80%, and widespread cloud cover with 70-95% rain chances from scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. These conditions follow a warmer September 16 peak near 29°C and align with typical mid-September patterns under weak high pressure, though minor model spreads allow brief clearing that could push readings to 25-26°C if precipitation timing shifts later. Trader emphasis on 26°C or higher at 46.5% implied probability reflects uncertainty in exact storm coverage and potential for localized warming ahead of any frontal passage, with resolution hinging on official Milan observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Milan on September 17?
26°C or higher 46%
25°C 34%
24°C 20%
23°C 5%
$24,768 Обс.
$24,768 Обс.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
20%
25°C
34%
26°C or higher
46%
26°C or higher 46%
25°C 34%
24°C 20%
23°C 5%
$24,768 Обс.
$24,768 Обс.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
20%
25°C
34%
26°C or higher
46%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models including Met Office and ECMWF indicates a high near 24°C in Milan on September 17, driven by persistent easterly flow, high humidity near 80%, and widespread cloud cover with 70-95% rain chances from scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. These conditions follow a warmer September 16 peak near 29°C and align with typical mid-September patterns under weak high pressure, though minor model spreads allow brief clearing that could push readings to 25-26°C if precipitation timing shifts later. Trader emphasis on 26°C or higher at 46.5% implied probability reflects uncertainty in exact storm coverage and potential for localized warming ahead of any frontal passage, with resolution hinging on official Milan observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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