Incoming cold air from northern China is driving the market's tight clustering around 26–29°C for Wuhan's September 16 high, with official Wuhan Meteorological Station guidance projecting 18–27°C under cloudy skies, light to moderate rain, and northerly winds of 3–5 Beaufort that limit daytime heating. Ensemble and regional models show the frontal passage suppressing solar insolation and advecting cooler, moister air, yielding lower maxima than the preceding 29–32°C days. Slight divergences in rain timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the spread between 27°C (21.5% implied) and 28–29°C (45% combined), while lower outcomes remain discounted absent stronger-than-expected advection. Resolution hinges on the 24-hour maximum recorded by local stations before the heavier rain and further cooling expected on the 17th.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 16?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 16?
28°C 31%
27°C 22%
29°C 21%
26°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 16, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
15%
27°C
22%
28°C
31%
29°C
21%
30°C
7%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
2%
28°C 31%
27°C 22%
29°C 21%
26°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 16, 2026
22°C or below
$268 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$714 Обс.
1%
24°C
$182 Обс.
2%
25°C
$585 Обс.
7%
26°C
$1,605 Обс.
15%
27°C
$1,104 Обс.
22%
28°C
$1,351 Обс.
31%
29°C
$924 Обс.
21%
30°C
$1,102 Обс.
7%
31°C
$655 Обс.
2%
32°C or higher
$125 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Incoming cold air from northern China is driving the market's tight clustering around 26–29°C for Wuhan's September 16 high, with official Wuhan Meteorological Station guidance projecting 18–27°C under cloudy skies, light to moderate rain, and northerly winds of 3–5 Beaufort that limit daytime heating. Ensemble and regional models show the frontal passage suppressing solar insolation and advecting cooler, moister air, yielding lower maxima than the preceding 29–32°C days. Slight divergences in rain timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the spread between 27°C (21.5% implied) and 28–29°C (45% combined), while lower outcomes remain discounted absent stronger-than-expected advection. Resolution hinges on the 24-hour maximum recorded by local stations before the heavier rain and further cooling expected on the 17th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,614Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Incoming cold air from northern China is driving the market's tight clustering around 26–29°C for Wuhan's September 16 high, with official Wuhan Meteorological Station guidance projecting 18–27°C under cloudy skies, light to moderate rain, and northerly winds of 3–5 Beaufort that limit daytime heating. Ensemble and regional models show the frontal passage suppressing solar insolation and advecting cooler, moister air, yielding lower maxima than the preceding 29–32°C days. Slight divergences in rain timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the spread between 27°C (21.5% implied) and 28–29°C (45% combined), while lower outcomes remain discounted absent stronger-than-expected advection. Resolution hinges on the 24-hour maximum recorded by local stations before the heavier rain and further cooling expected on the 17th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8,614Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Incoming cold air from northern China is driving the market's tight clustering around 26–29°C for Wuhan's September 16 high, with official Wuhan Meteorological Station guidance projecting 18–27°C under cloudy skies, light to moderate rain, and northerly winds of 3–5 Beaufort that limit daytime heating. Ensemble and regional models show the frontal passage suppressing solar insolation and advecting cooler, moister air, yielding lower maxima than the preceding 29–32°C days. Slight divergences in rain timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the spread between 27°C (21.5% implied) and 28–29°C (45% combined), while lower outcomes remain discounted absent stronger-than-expected advection. Resolution hinges on the 24-hour maximum recorded by local stations before the heavier rain and further cooling expected on the 17th.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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