Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional ensembles, indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 16 most likely between 23–25°C amid widespread cloud cover, light rain, and moderate northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating. Persistent moisture from the Sichuan basin’s autumn transition keeps surface temperatures suppressed relative to clearer-sky climatology, though partial afternoon clearing in some solutions allows brief warming toward 25°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread and model consensus, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers like 26°C or below 23°C that would require significant forecast shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation. Final high-resolution updates and official station observations will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 16?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 16?
25°C 37%
24°C 28%
23°C 15%
26°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 16, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
15%
24°C
28%
25°C
37%
26°C
13%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
2%
25°C 37%
24°C 28%
23°C 15%
26°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 16, 2026
18°C or below
$473 Обс.
1%
19°C
$1,325 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$779 Обс.
1%
21°C
$300 Обс.
2%
22°C
$462 Обс.
6%
23°C
$768 Обс.
15%
24°C
$653 Обс.
28%
25°C
$1,510 Обс.
37%
26°C
$963 Обс.
13%
27°C
$661 Обс.
5%
28°C or higher
$711 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional ensembles, indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 16 most likely between 23–25°C amid widespread cloud cover, light rain, and moderate northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating. Persistent moisture from the Sichuan basin’s autumn transition keeps surface temperatures suppressed relative to clearer-sky climatology, though partial afternoon clearing in some solutions allows brief warming toward 25°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread and model consensus, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers like 26°C or below 23°C that would require significant forecast shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation. Final high-resolution updates and official station observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,606Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional ensembles, indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 16 most likely between 23–25°C amid widespread cloud cover, light rain, and moderate northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating. Persistent moisture from the Sichuan basin’s autumn transition keeps surface temperatures suppressed relative to clearer-sky climatology, though partial afternoon clearing in some solutions allows brief warming toward 25°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread and model consensus, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers like 26°C or below 23°C that would require significant forecast shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation. Final high-resolution updates and official station observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8,606Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional ensembles, indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 16 most likely between 23–25°C amid widespread cloud cover, light rain, and moderate northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating. Persistent moisture from the Sichuan basin’s autumn transition keeps surface temperatures suppressed relative to clearer-sky climatology, though partial afternoon clearing in some solutions allows brief warming toward 25°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread and model consensus, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers like 26°C or below 23°C that would require significant forecast shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation. Final high-resolution updates and official station observations will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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