Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 17 show daytime highs clustered between 24–27°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 25–27°C. Persistent cloud cover and scattered rain from lingering monsoon influences limit solar heating in the Sichuan Basin, while light easterly winds offer minimal mixing. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicates modest warming potential if afternoon clearing occurs, but higher precipitation probabilities in some runs suppress maxima toward 24–25°C. Historical September baselines average near 25°C, with recent mid-month observations running 1–2°C below normal due to frequent overcast conditions. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date will likely refine the precise peak.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 17?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 17?
26°C 31%
27°C 25%
25°C 20%
24°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
12%
25°C
20%
26°C
31%
27°C
25%
28°C
12%
29°C
6%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 31%
27°C 25%
25°C 20%
24°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$0 Обс.
3%
23°C
$0 Обс.
5%
24°C
$27 Обс.
12%
25°C
$0 Обс.
20%
26°C
$6 Обс.
31%
27°C
$38 Обс.
25%
28°C
$10 Обс.
12%
29°C
$0 Обс.
6%
30°C
$5 Обс.
4%
31°C or higher
$215 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 17 show daytime highs clustered between 24–27°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 25–27°C. Persistent cloud cover and scattered rain from lingering monsoon influences limit solar heating in the Sichuan Basin, while light easterly winds offer minimal mixing. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicates modest warming potential if afternoon clearing occurs, but higher precipitation probabilities in some runs suppress maxima toward 24–25°C. Historical September baselines average near 25°C, with recent mid-month observations running 1–2°C below normal due to frequent overcast conditions. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date will likely refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$301Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 17 show daytime highs clustered between 24–27°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 25–27°C. Persistent cloud cover and scattered rain from lingering monsoon influences limit solar heating in the Sichuan Basin, while light easterly winds offer minimal mixing. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicates modest warming potential if afternoon clearing occurs, but higher precipitation probabilities in some runs suppress maxima toward 24–25°C. Historical September baselines average near 25°C, with recent mid-month observations running 1–2°C below normal due to frequent overcast conditions. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date will likely refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$301Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 17 show daytime highs clustered between 24–27°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 25–27°C. Persistent cloud cover and scattered rain from lingering monsoon influences limit solar heating in the Sichuan Basin, while light easterly winds offer minimal mixing. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicates modest warming potential if afternoon clearing occurs, but higher precipitation probabilities in some runs suppress maxima toward 24–25°C. Historical September baselines average near 25°C, with recent mid-month observations running 1–2°C below normal due to frequent overcast conditions. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date will likely refine the precise peak.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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