**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 19–20°C for Chengdu on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–95%, and light variable winds that limit radiational cooling overnight.** These conditions, following recent showers and a cooler air mass, suppress the typical drop below 18°C seen in clearer autumn nights. The tight clustering of market odds around 15–20°C reflects remaining uncertainty in exact hourly minima and measurement timing, with 20°C holding a narrow lead as the most probable single outcome. Historical September lows average near 20°C, and current steering patterns show no strong cold advection to push values substantially lower. New surface observations or updated numerical guidance through the evening could refine the final reading before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 17?
15°C or below 100%
16°C 91%
18°C 91%
17°C 90%
15°C or below
100%
16°C
91%
17°C
90%
18°C
91%
19°C
47%
20°C
53%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
15°C or below 100%
16°C 91%
18°C 91%
17°C 90%
15°C or below
100%
16°C
91%
17°C
90%
18°C
91%
19°C
47%
20°C
53%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 19–20°C for Chengdu on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–95%, and light variable winds that limit radiational cooling overnight.** These conditions, following recent showers and a cooler air mass, suppress the typical drop below 18°C seen in clearer autumn nights. The tight clustering of market odds around 15–20°C reflects remaining uncertainty in exact hourly minima and measurement timing, with 20°C holding a narrow lead as the most probable single outcome. Historical September lows average near 20°C, and current steering patterns show no strong cold advection to push values substantially lower. New surface observations or updated numerical guidance through the evening could refine the final reading before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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