Current forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and private ensembles indicate a high temperature near 96–98°F for Austin on September 19, 2026, under mostly clear skies with light southeast winds and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This above-average reading—relative to the 1991–2020 climatological mean of roughly 90°F—reflects persistent warm, dry late-summer air masses without significant frontal passages or moisture advection to moderate daytime heating. Market-implied odds remain closely bunched across the 96–101°F bins because small differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, insolation, or model bias can shift the exact peak by a degree or two; traders are weighting recent GFS and ECMWF runs that converge on the upper 90s while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±2°F this close to the event.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on September 19?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 19?
96-97°F 40%
98-99°F 39%
100-101°F 38%
94-95°F 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
87°F or below
5%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
40%
98-99°F
39%
100-101°F
38%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
10%
106°F or higher
6%
96-97°F 40%
98-99°F 39%
100-101°F 38%
94-95°F 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
87°F or below
$0 Обс.
5%
88-89°F
$0 Обс.
5%
90-91°F
$17 Обс.
9%
92-93°F
$20 Обс.
3%
94-95°F
$0 Обс.
19%
96-97°F
$0 Обс.
40%
98-99°F
$0 Обс.
39%
100-101°F
$0 Обс.
38%
102-103°F
$0 Обс.
19%
104-105°F
$0 Обс.
10%
106°F or higher
$0 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and private ensembles indicate a high temperature near 96–98°F for Austin on September 19, 2026, under mostly clear skies with light southeast winds and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This above-average reading—relative to the 1991–2020 climatological mean of roughly 90°F—reflects persistent warm, dry late-summer air masses without significant frontal passages or moisture advection to moderate daytime heating. Market-implied odds remain closely bunched across the 96–101°F bins because small differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, insolation, or model bias can shift the exact peak by a degree or two; traders are weighting recent GFS and ECMWF runs that converge on the upper 90s while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±2°F this close to the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$37Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and private ensembles indicate a high temperature near 96–98°F for Austin on September 19, 2026, under mostly clear skies with light southeast winds and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This above-average reading—relative to the 1991–2020 climatological mean of roughly 90°F—reflects persistent warm, dry late-summer air masses without significant frontal passages or moisture advection to moderate daytime heating. Market-implied odds remain closely bunched across the 96–101°F bins because small differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, insolation, or model bias can shift the exact peak by a degree or two; traders are weighting recent GFS and ECMWF runs that converge on the upper 90s while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±2°F this close to the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$37Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and private ensembles indicate a high temperature near 96–98°F for Austin on September 19, 2026, under mostly clear skies with light southeast winds and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This above-average reading—relative to the 1991–2020 climatological mean of roughly 90°F—reflects persistent warm, dry late-summer air masses without significant frontal passages or moisture advection to moderate daytime heating. Market-implied odds remain closely bunched across the 96–101°F bins because small differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, insolation, or model bias can shift the exact peak by a degree or two; traders are weighting recent GFS and ECMWF runs that converge on the upper 90s while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±2°F this close to the event.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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