Forecast models from sources like the GFS show broad consensus for Austin's September 19 minimum in the low-to-mid 70s °F, with limited overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies, southerly flow, and dew points near 70 °F that curb temperature drops. Persistent high pressure and warm advection from the Gulf keep conditions above the 66.8 °F climatological average low, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise lower readings further. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture, explaining tight market clustering around the 68–75 °F bins; any unexpected increase in low-level humidity or delayed clearing could push the observed low toward the lower end of that range. Updated NWS guidance and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Austin on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Austin on September 19?
70-71°F 26%
72-73°F 24%
74-75°F 22%
68-69°F 21%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
63°F or below
2%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
13%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
7%
82°F or higher
1%
70-71°F 26%
72-73°F 24%
74-75°F 22%
68-69°F 21%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
63°F or below
$0 Обс.
2%
64-65°F
$0 Обс.
5%
66-67°F
$0 Обс.
13%
68-69°F
$8 Обс.
21%
70-71°F
$0 Обс.
26%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
24%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
22%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
13%
78-79°F
$0 Обс.
10%
80-81°F
$0 Обс.
7%
82°F or higher
$0 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the GFS show broad consensus for Austin's September 19 minimum in the low-to-mid 70s °F, with limited overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies, southerly flow, and dew points near 70 °F that curb temperature drops. Persistent high pressure and warm advection from the Gulf keep conditions above the 66.8 °F climatological average low, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise lower readings further. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture, explaining tight market clustering around the 68–75 °F bins; any unexpected increase in low-level humidity or delayed clearing could push the observed low toward the lower end of that range. Updated NWS guidance and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$8Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the GFS show broad consensus for Austin's September 19 minimum in the low-to-mid 70s °F, with limited overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies, southerly flow, and dew points near 70 °F that curb temperature drops. Persistent high pressure and warm advection from the Gulf keep conditions above the 66.8 °F climatological average low, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise lower readings further. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture, explaining tight market clustering around the 68–75 °F bins; any unexpected increase in low-level humidity or delayed clearing could push the observed low toward the lower end of that range. Updated NWS guidance and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the GFS show broad consensus for Austin's September 19 minimum in the low-to-mid 70s °F, with limited overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies, southerly flow, and dew points near 70 °F that curb temperature drops. Persistent high pressure and warm advection from the Gulf keep conditions above the 66.8 °F climatological average low, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise lower readings further. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture, explaining tight market clustering around the 68–75 °F bins; any unexpected increase in low-level humidity or delayed clearing could push the observed low toward the lower end of that range. Updated NWS guidance and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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