Recent high-pressure systems over the region have driven clear skies and strong daytime solar heating, pushing recent Seoul and Incheon highs into the upper 20s°C and supporting KMA guidance of a 28°C peak for September 18. With the market's leading implied probabilities clustered tightly around 26–31°C, traders are pricing modest upside potential from model spreads in boundary-layer warming and wind patterns that could allow brief exceedance of official forecasts. Short-range guidance from multiple ensembles shows limited precipitation risk and typical autumn diurnal ranges of 10–12°C, but small shifts in cloud cover or advection could alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated KMA and global model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 18?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 18?
28°C 37%
27°C 25%
29°C 14%
30°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
7%
26°C
9%
27°C
18%
28°C
24%
29°C
14%
30°C
11%
31°C
4%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 37%
27°C 25%
29°C 14%
30°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$4 Обс.
7%
26°C
$5 Обс.
9%
27°C
$5 Обс.
18%
28°C
$0 Обс.
24%
29°C
$0 Обс.
14%
30°C
$0 Обс.
11%
31°C
$0 Обс.
4%
32°C
$0 Обс.
3%
33°C
$0 Обс.
2%
34°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure systems over the region have driven clear skies and strong daytime solar heating, pushing recent Seoul and Incheon highs into the upper 20s°C and supporting KMA guidance of a 28°C peak for September 18. With the market's leading implied probabilities clustered tightly around 26–31°C, traders are pricing modest upside potential from model spreads in boundary-layer warming and wind patterns that could allow brief exceedance of official forecasts. Short-range guidance from multiple ensembles shows limited precipitation risk and typical autumn diurnal ranges of 10–12°C, but small shifts in cloud cover or advection could alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated KMA and global model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$14Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure systems over the region have driven clear skies and strong daytime solar heating, pushing recent Seoul and Incheon highs into the upper 20s°C and supporting KMA guidance of a 28°C peak for September 18. With the market's leading implied probabilities clustered tightly around 26–31°C, traders are pricing modest upside potential from model spreads in boundary-layer warming and wind patterns that could allow brief exceedance of official forecasts. Short-range guidance from multiple ensembles shows limited precipitation risk and typical autumn diurnal ranges of 10–12°C, but small shifts in cloud cover or advection could alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated KMA and global model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$14Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-pressure systems over the region have driven clear skies and strong daytime solar heating, pushing recent Seoul and Incheon highs into the upper 20s°C and supporting KMA guidance of a 28°C peak for September 18. With the market's leading implied probabilities clustered tightly around 26–31°C, traders are pricing modest upside potential from model spreads in boundary-layer warming and wind patterns that could allow brief exceedance of official forecasts. Short-range guidance from multiple ensembles shows limited precipitation risk and typical autumn diurnal ranges of 10–12°C, but small shifts in cloud cover or advection could alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated KMA and global model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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