Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high near 94–96°F in Houston on September 15 under mostly sunny skies with light southeast winds and only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance. Persistent southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture, combined with strong September insolation and minimal cloud cover, supports temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 daily average of 89°F. Heat indices exceeding 105°F further underscore the warm boundary-layer conditions. These factors align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 94–95°F (65%) and secondary support for 92–93°F or 96–97°F, reflecting trader consensus on the narrow range of likely outcomes given stable synoptic patterns and limited model spread in the short-term forecast window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Houston on September 15?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 15?
94-95°F 63%
92-93°F 23%
96-97°F 13%
90-91°F 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
23%
94-95°F
63%
96-97°F
13%
98-99°F
3%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 63%
92-93°F 23%
96-97°F 13%
90-91°F 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
85°F or below
$283 Обс.
<1%
86-87°F
$105 Обс.
1%
88-89°F
$0 Обс.
3%
90-91°F
$338 Обс.
4%
92-93°F
$747 Обс.
23%
94-95°F
$1,883 Обс.
63%
96-97°F
$506 Обс.
13%
98-99°F
$0 Обс.
3%
100-101°F
$0 Обс.
2%
102-103°F
$378 Обс.
<1%
104°F or higher
$328 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high near 94–96°F in Houston on September 15 under mostly sunny skies with light southeast winds and only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance. Persistent southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture, combined with strong September insolation and minimal cloud cover, supports temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 daily average of 89°F. Heat indices exceeding 105°F further underscore the warm boundary-layer conditions. These factors align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 94–95°F (65%) and secondary support for 92–93°F or 96–97°F, reflecting trader consensus on the narrow range of likely outcomes given stable synoptic patterns and limited model spread in the short-term forecast window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Обсяг
$4,568Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high near 94–96°F in Houston on September 15 under mostly sunny skies with light southeast winds and only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance. Persistent southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture, combined with strong September insolation and minimal cloud cover, supports temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 daily average of 89°F. Heat indices exceeding 105°F further underscore the warm boundary-layer conditions. These factors align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 94–95°F (65%) and secondary support for 92–93°F or 96–97°F, reflecting trader consensus on the narrow range of likely outcomes given stable synoptic patterns and limited model spread in the short-term forecast window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,568Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high near 94–96°F in Houston on September 15 under mostly sunny skies with light southeast winds and only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance. Persistent southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture, combined with strong September insolation and minimal cloud cover, supports temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 daily average of 89°F. Heat indices exceeding 105°F further underscore the warm boundary-layer conditions. These factors align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 94–95°F (65%) and secondary support for 92–93°F or 96–97°F, reflecting trader consensus on the narrow range of likely outcomes given stable synoptic patterns and limited model spread in the short-term forecast window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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