Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 94°F for Houston on September 16 under mostly sunny skies, light east winds, and high humidity that supports heat indices above 105°F. This aligns with the 68.5% market-implied probability for 94-95°F, reflecting above-average September conditions following a 97°F reading on the 15th. Limited afternoon storm chances around 20% introduce minor cooling uncertainty, while the 17% odds on 96-97°F account for potential model runs showing slightly stronger ridging. Historical averages near 89°F underscore the elevated baseline driven by persistent southerly flow. Updated NHC and local model guidance expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Houston on September 16?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 16?
94-95°F 64%
96-97°F 21%
92-93°F 15%
90-91°F 4.4%
НОВЕ
$15,057 Обс.
НОВЕ
$15,057 Обс.
Sep 16, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
15%
94-95°F
64%
96-97°F
21%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 64%
96-97°F 21%
92-93°F 15%
90-91°F 4.4%
НОВЕ
$15,057 Обс.
НОВЕ
$15,057 Обс.
Sep 16, 2026
81°F or below
$224 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$193 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$624 Обс.
<1%
86-87°F
$413 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$245 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$900 Обс.
4%
92-93°F
$3,731 Обс.
15%
94-95°F
$3,401 Обс.
64%
96-97°F
$4,777 Обс.
21%
98-99°F
$237 Обс.
<1%
100°F or higher
$338 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 94°F for Houston on September 16 under mostly sunny skies, light east winds, and high humidity that supports heat indices above 105°F. This aligns with the 68.5% market-implied probability for 94-95°F, reflecting above-average September conditions following a 97°F reading on the 15th. Limited afternoon storm chances around 20% introduce minor cooling uncertainty, while the 17% odds on 96-97°F account for potential model runs showing slightly stronger ridging. Historical averages near 89°F underscore the elevated baseline driven by persistent southerly flow. Updated NHC and local model guidance expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$15,057Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 94°F for Houston on September 16 under mostly sunny skies, light east winds, and high humidity that supports heat indices above 105°F. This aligns with the 68.5% market-implied probability for 94-95°F, reflecting above-average September conditions following a 97°F reading on the 15th. Limited afternoon storm chances around 20% introduce minor cooling uncertainty, while the 17% odds on 96-97°F account for potential model runs showing slightly stronger ridging. Historical averages near 89°F underscore the elevated baseline driven by persistent southerly flow. Updated NHC and local model guidance expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$15,057Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 94°F for Houston on September 16 under mostly sunny skies, light east winds, and high humidity that supports heat indices above 105°F. This aligns with the 68.5% market-implied probability for 94-95°F, reflecting above-average September conditions following a 97°F reading on the 15th. Limited afternoon storm chances around 20% introduce minor cooling uncertainty, while the 17% odds on 96-97°F account for potential model runs showing slightly stronger ridging. Historical averages near 89°F underscore the elevated baseline driven by persistent southerly flow. Updated NHC and local model guidance expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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