Recent forecast consensus from meteorological services points to a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 17, driven by seasonal monsoon moisture and northerly flow that favors afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers. These conditions typically limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping highs near the September climatological average rather than allowing stronger warming. Model runs show variability in precipitation timing, with heavier rain potentially suppressing the peak below 23°C or lighter activity permitting a brief reach to 25°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance of these scenarios, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow range of likely outcomes under current atmospheric guidance. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 17?
24°C 40%
25°C or higher 32%
23°C 18%
22°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
18%
24°C
40%
25°C or higher
32%
24°C 40%
25°C or higher 32%
23°C 18%
22°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
15°C or below
$31 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$31 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$31 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$31 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$53 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$53 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$359 Обс.
2%
22°C
$374 Обс.
5%
23°C
$1,998 Обс.
18%
24°C
$696 Обс.
40%
25°C or higher
$2,159 Обс.
32%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from meteorological services points to a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 17, driven by seasonal monsoon moisture and northerly flow that favors afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers. These conditions typically limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping highs near the September climatological average rather than allowing stronger warming. Model runs show variability in precipitation timing, with heavier rain potentially suppressing the peak below 23°C or lighter activity permitting a brief reach to 25°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance of these scenarios, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow range of likely outcomes under current atmospheric guidance. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,815Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 8:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from meteorological services points to a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 17, driven by seasonal monsoon moisture and northerly flow that favors afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers. These conditions typically limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping highs near the September climatological average rather than allowing stronger warming. Model runs show variability in precipitation timing, with heavier rain potentially suppressing the peak below 23°C or lighter activity permitting a brief reach to 25°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance of these scenarios, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow range of likely outcomes under current atmospheric guidance. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,815Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 8:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from meteorological services points to a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 17, driven by seasonal monsoon moisture and northerly flow that favors afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers. These conditions typically limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping highs near the September climatological average rather than allowing stronger warming. Model runs show variability in precipitation timing, with heavier rain potentially suppressing the peak below 23°C or lighter activity permitting a brief reach to 25°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance of these scenarios, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow range of likely outcomes under current atmospheric guidance. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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