Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover over Chongqing are the dominant factors capping daytime heating on September 16, with official forecasts from multiple models showing highs clustered between 20–26 °C under light winds and high humidity. These conditions suppress solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, aligning trader consensus with the 21 °C and 22 °C outcomes that together exceed 49 % implied probability. September climatology for the region typically features warmer maxima near 27 °C, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by steady precipitation and stable stratification—has shifted probabilities downward. Updated model runs and any late changes in rainfall timing or intensity remain the key variables that could nudge the observed high across the narrow 20–23 °C thresholds still in play.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 16?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 16?
21°C 25%
22°C 23%
20°C 17%
23°C 16%
НОВЕ
$11,555 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,555 Обс.
Sep 16, 2026
19°C or below
9%
20°C
17%
21°C
25%
22°C
23%
23°C
16%
24°C
5%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
21°C 25%
22°C 23%
20°C 17%
23°C 16%
НОВЕ
$11,555 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,555 Обс.
Sep 16, 2026
19°C or below
$1,267 Обс.
9%
20°C
$1,304 Обс.
17%
21°C
$1,371 Обс.
25%
22°C
$1,259 Обс.
23%
23°C
$4,171 Обс.
16%
24°C
$986 Обс.
5%
25°C
$144 Обс.
3%
26°C
$112 Обс.
1%
27°C
$734 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$104 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$104 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover over Chongqing are the dominant factors capping daytime heating on September 16, with official forecasts from multiple models showing highs clustered between 20–26 °C under light winds and high humidity. These conditions suppress solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, aligning trader consensus with the 21 °C and 22 °C outcomes that together exceed 49 % implied probability. September climatology for the region typically features warmer maxima near 27 °C, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by steady precipitation and stable stratification—has shifted probabilities downward. Updated model runs and any late changes in rainfall timing or intensity remain the key variables that could nudge the observed high across the narrow 20–23 °C thresholds still in play.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$11,555Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover over Chongqing are the dominant factors capping daytime heating on September 16, with official forecasts from multiple models showing highs clustered between 20–26 °C under light winds and high humidity. These conditions suppress solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, aligning trader consensus with the 21 °C and 22 °C outcomes that together exceed 49 % implied probability. September climatology for the region typically features warmer maxima near 27 °C, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by steady precipitation and stable stratification—has shifted probabilities downward. Updated model runs and any late changes in rainfall timing or intensity remain the key variables that could nudge the observed high across the narrow 20–23 °C thresholds still in play.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$11,555Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover over Chongqing are the dominant factors capping daytime heating on September 16, with official forecasts from multiple models showing highs clustered between 20–26 °C under light winds and high humidity. These conditions suppress solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, aligning trader consensus with the 21 °C and 22 °C outcomes that together exceed 49 % implied probability. September climatology for the region typically features warmer maxima near 27 °C, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by steady precipitation and stable stratification—has shifted probabilities downward. Updated model runs and any late changes in rainfall timing or intensity remain the key variables that could nudge the observed high across the narrow 20–23 °C thresholds still in play.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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