Recent forecast models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Chinese Meteorological Administration highlight persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and widespread rainfall expected across Chongqing on September 16, which suppress daytime heating and promote radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with the market's leading 41% implied probability for a minimum of 15°C or below, as high humidity near 90% and precipitation totals exceeding 10 mm in some runs favor lower nighttime readings around 17–20°C. Trader consensus reflects model spread, with secondary outcomes at 20°C and 21°C capturing 29% and 25.5% respectively amid typical September climatology of 20–22°C lows. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model updates will refine steering patterns and intensity, directly influencing resolution against official station data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 16?
15°C or below 56%
16°C 38%
17°C 38%
18°C 38%
15°C or below
56%
16°C
38%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C
27%
20°C
32%
21°C
24%
22°C
38%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C or higher
1%
15°C or below 56%
16°C 38%
17°C 38%
18°C 38%
15°C or below
56%
16°C
38%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C
27%
20°C
32%
21°C
24%
22°C
38%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Chinese Meteorological Administration highlight persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and widespread rainfall expected across Chongqing on September 16, which suppress daytime heating and promote radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with the market's leading 41% implied probability for a minimum of 15°C or below, as high humidity near 90% and precipitation totals exceeding 10 mm in some runs favor lower nighttime readings around 17–20°C. Trader consensus reflects model spread, with secondary outcomes at 20°C and 21°C capturing 29% and 25.5% respectively amid typical September climatology of 20–22°C lows. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model updates will refine steering patterns and intensity, directly influencing resolution against official station data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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