Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like the Met Office and Yr.no indicate Chongqing's overnight low on September 15 will likely settle between 19–21 °C, driven by increasing cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with clearer, drier nights that allow stronger surface heat loss. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 19–21 °C because ensemble guidance shows only modest differences in precipitation timing and wind speed, which can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical September averages near 22 °C provide context, but the current moist northerly flow favors the lower end of the typical range. Fresh model updates and official station observations through the night will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 15?
21°C 40%
20°C 36%
16°C or below 30%
19°C 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
16°C or below
30%
17°C
19%
18°C
18%
19°C
25%
20°C
36%
21°C
35%
22°C
19%
23°C
16%
24°C
10%
25°C
13%
26°C or higher
8%
21°C 40%
20°C 36%
16°C or below 30%
19°C 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
16°C or below
$10 Обс.
30%
17°C
$17 Обс.
19%
18°C
$17 Обс.
18%
19°C
$49 Обс.
25%
20°C
$55 Обс.
36%
21°C
$22 Обс.
35%
22°C
$17 Обс.
19%
23°C
$17 Обс.
16%
24°C
$17 Обс.
10%
25°C
$10 Обс.
13%
26°C or higher
$10 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like the Met Office and Yr.no indicate Chongqing's overnight low on September 15 will likely settle between 19–21 °C, driven by increasing cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with clearer, drier nights that allow stronger surface heat loss. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 19–21 °C because ensemble guidance shows only modest differences in precipitation timing and wind speed, which can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical September averages near 22 °C provide context, but the current moist northerly flow favors the lower end of the typical range. Fresh model updates and official station observations through the night will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Обсяг
$241Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like the Met Office and Yr.no indicate Chongqing's overnight low on September 15 will likely settle between 19–21 °C, driven by increasing cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with clearer, drier nights that allow stronger surface heat loss. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 19–21 °C because ensemble guidance shows only modest differences in precipitation timing and wind speed, which can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical September averages near 22 °C provide context, but the current moist northerly flow favors the lower end of the typical range. Fresh model updates and official station observations through the night will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$241Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like the Met Office and Yr.no indicate Chongqing's overnight low on September 15 will likely settle between 19–21 °C, driven by increasing cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with clearer, drier nights that allow stronger surface heat loss. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 19–21 °C because ensemble guidance shows only modest differences in precipitation timing and wind speed, which can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical September averages near 22 °C provide context, but the current moist northerly flow favors the lower end of the typical range. Fresh model updates and official station observations through the night will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання