Current forecast models, including GFS runs, point to a daytime maximum of 26–27°C in Incheon under mostly cloudy morning conditions transitioning to partly cloudy skies, with northwest winds of 10–12 km/h and negligible precipitation risk. This places the implied probability firmly on 26°C as the leading outcome, consistent with historical mid-September baselines for the Seoul metropolitan area and the absence of any warm advection or clear-sky amplification. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest model consensus, which shows limited spread across ensembles and no major revisions in the past 24 hours. The market will resolve on official Incheon station observations once the calendar day ends in Korea Standard Time.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14?
26°C 46%
25°C 29%
27°C 15%
24°C 11%
НОВЕ
$18,079 Обс.
НОВЕ
$18,079 Обс.
Sep 14, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
11%
25°C
29%
26°C
46%
27°C
15%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 46%
25°C 29%
27°C 15%
24°C 11%
НОВЕ
$18,079 Обс.
НОВЕ
$18,079 Обс.
Sep 14, 2026
20°C or below
$538 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$2,048 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$960 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$1,326 Обс.
3%
24°C
$2,889 Обс.
11%
25°C
$3,437 Обс.
29%
26°C
$3,053 Обс.
46%
27°C
$2,484 Обс.
15%
28°C
$1,034 Обс.
2%
29°C
$233 Обс.
<1%
30°C or higher
$77 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS runs, point to a daytime maximum of 26–27°C in Incheon under mostly cloudy morning conditions transitioning to partly cloudy skies, with northwest winds of 10–12 km/h and negligible precipitation risk. This places the implied probability firmly on 26°C as the leading outcome, consistent with historical mid-September baselines for the Seoul metropolitan area and the absence of any warm advection or clear-sky amplification. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest model consensus, which shows limited spread across ensembles and no major revisions in the past 24 hours. The market will resolve on official Incheon station observations once the calendar day ends in Korea Standard Time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$18,079Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS runs, point to a daytime maximum of 26–27°C in Incheon under mostly cloudy morning conditions transitioning to partly cloudy skies, with northwest winds of 10–12 km/h and negligible precipitation risk. This places the implied probability firmly on 26°C as the leading outcome, consistent with historical mid-September baselines for the Seoul metropolitan area and the absence of any warm advection or clear-sky amplification. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest model consensus, which shows limited spread across ensembles and no major revisions in the past 24 hours. The market will resolve on official Incheon station observations once the calendar day ends in Korea Standard Time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$18,079Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models, including GFS runs, point to a daytime maximum of 26–27°C in Incheon under mostly cloudy morning conditions transitioning to partly cloudy skies, with northwest winds of 10–12 km/h and negligible precipitation risk. This places the implied probability firmly on 26°C as the leading outcome, consistent with historical mid-September baselines for the Seoul metropolitan area and the absence of any warm advection or clear-sky amplification. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest model consensus, which shows limited spread across ensembles and no major revisions in the past 24 hours. The market will resolve on official Incheon station observations once the calendar day ends in Korea Standard Time.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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