Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 18–20°C for Incheon on September 14, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air and clear to partly cloudy skies promoting overnight radiative cooling. Recent high-pressure influence has reduced cloud cover and humidity, allowing surface temperatures to drop more efficiently than in preceding days, while light winds limit mixing. Historical September minima in the region average around 17–19°C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 19°C (44.5%) and 20°C (35.5%). Traders weigh model spread in dew-point forecasts and exact timing of clearing against official Incheon station resolution criteria. Updated model runs and the final 24-hour observational period will likely refine these odds before settlement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14?
19°C 45%
20°C 35%
18°C 16%
16°C 1.5%
НОВЕ
$10,778 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,778 Обс.
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
16%
19°C
45%
20°C
35%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 45%
20°C 35%
18°C 16%
16°C 1.5%
НОВЕ
$10,778 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,778 Обс.
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
$419 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$233 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$494 Обс.
2%
17°C
$460 Обс.
2%
18°C
$950 Обс.
16%
19°C
$5,739 Обс.
45%
20°C
$1,186 Обс.
35%
21°C
$273 Обс.
1%
22°C
$256 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$438 Обс.
1%
24°C or higher
$329 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 18–20°C for Incheon on September 14, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air and clear to partly cloudy skies promoting overnight radiative cooling. Recent high-pressure influence has reduced cloud cover and humidity, allowing surface temperatures to drop more efficiently than in preceding days, while light winds limit mixing. Historical September minima in the region average around 17–19°C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 19°C (44.5%) and 20°C (35.5%). Traders weigh model spread in dew-point forecasts and exact timing of clearing against official Incheon station resolution criteria. Updated model runs and the final 24-hour observational period will likely refine these odds before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$10,778Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 18–20°C for Incheon on September 14, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air and clear to partly cloudy skies promoting overnight radiative cooling. Recent high-pressure influence has reduced cloud cover and humidity, allowing surface temperatures to drop more efficiently than in preceding days, while light winds limit mixing. Historical September minima in the region average around 17–19°C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 19°C (44.5%) and 20°C (35.5%). Traders weigh model spread in dew-point forecasts and exact timing of clearing against official Incheon station resolution criteria. Updated model runs and the final 24-hour observational period will likely refine these odds before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$10,778Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 18–20°C for Incheon on September 14, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air and clear to partly cloudy skies promoting overnight radiative cooling. Recent high-pressure influence has reduced cloud cover and humidity, allowing surface temperatures to drop more efficiently than in preceding days, while light winds limit mixing. Historical September minima in the region average around 17–19°C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 19°C (44.5%) and 20°C (35.5%). Traders weigh model spread in dew-point forecasts and exact timing of clearing against official Incheon station resolution criteria. Updated model runs and the final 24-hour observational period will likely refine these odds before settlement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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