Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate persistent cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and elevated humidity across Chongqing on September 15, limiting daytime heating and supporting peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Light northeasterly winds and high dew points near 20°C further suppress maximum readings by reducing insolation and promoting evaporative cooling. Current ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 23°C, with minor spread reflecting typical short-range uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity rather than major model divergence. This aligns with trader-implied probabilities favoring 21–24°C outcomes, as stronger rainfall or brief clearing could shift the daily high by 1–2°C in either direction before resolution. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key refinements within 24 hours.