Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Moscow on September 15 most likely between 17°C and 19°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 17°C or 18°C. Northerly winds and persistent cloud cover are expected to limit daytime solar heating and suppress the daily maximum, while surface pressure near 1017–1019 hPa supports stable conditions without strong advection of warmer air. These values sit slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 16.4°C for the date. Model consensus remains tight because steering patterns show minimal variability through the short-range window, though small shifts in cloud thickness or wind speed could tip the outcome between the leading bins. Updated runs from the Hydrometeorological Center will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on September 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 15?
18°C 42%
17°C 37%
19°C 20%
21°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
13°C or below
6%
14°C
6%
15°C
6%
16°C
6%
17°C
37%
18°C
42%
19°C
20%
20°C
5%
21°C
7%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
2%
18°C 42%
17°C 37%
19°C 20%
21°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
13°C or below
$10 Обс.
6%
14°C
$10 Обс.
6%
15°C
$70 Обс.
6%
16°C
$65 Обс.
6%
17°C
$123 Обс.
37%
18°C
$110 Обс.
42%
19°C
$196 Обс.
20%
20°C
$65 Обс.
5%
21°C
$10 Обс.
7%
22°C
$10 Обс.
5%
23°C or higher
$10 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Moscow on September 15 most likely between 17°C and 19°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 17°C or 18°C. Northerly winds and persistent cloud cover are expected to limit daytime solar heating and suppress the daily maximum, while surface pressure near 1017–1019 hPa supports stable conditions without strong advection of warmer air. These values sit slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 16.4°C for the date. Model consensus remains tight because steering patterns show minimal variability through the short-range window, though small shifts in cloud thickness or wind speed could tip the outcome between the leading bins. Updated runs from the Hydrometeorological Center will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Обсяг
$680Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Moscow on September 15 most likely between 17°C and 19°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 17°C or 18°C. Northerly winds and persistent cloud cover are expected to limit daytime solar heating and suppress the daily maximum, while surface pressure near 1017–1019 hPa supports stable conditions without strong advection of warmer air. These values sit slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 16.4°C for the date. Model consensus remains tight because steering patterns show minimal variability through the short-range window, though small shifts in cloud thickness or wind speed could tip the outcome between the leading bins. Updated runs from the Hydrometeorological Center will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$680Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Moscow on September 15 most likely between 17°C and 19°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 17°C or 18°C. Northerly winds and persistent cloud cover are expected to limit daytime solar heating and suppress the daily maximum, while surface pressure near 1017–1019 hPa supports stable conditions without strong advection of warmer air. These values sit slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 16.4°C for the date. Model consensus remains tight because steering patterns show minimal variability through the short-range window, though small shifts in cloud thickness or wind speed could tip the outcome between the leading bins. Updated runs from the Hydrometeorological Center will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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