Recent forecasts from AEMET and supporting models indicate clear skies and light variable winds over Madrid on September 13, supporting a maximum temperature centered on 32–33 °C. These conditions reflect a continuation of the current warming trend under high pressure, with afternoon readings expected to exceed the 1991–2020 climatological average of 27.1 °C but remain below historical extremes for the date. Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and modest diurnal ranges, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around the two leading outcomes. Any late adjustments from the next AEMET update or refined high-resolution runs could shift implied probabilities between the 32 °C and 33 °C bins before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on September 13?
33°C 52%
32°C 38%
34°C 8%
31°C 2.5%
$11,362 Обс.
$11,362 Обс.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
38%
33°C
52%
34°C
8%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 52%
32°C 38%
34°C 8%
31°C 2.5%
$11,362 Обс.
$11,362 Обс.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
38%
33°C
52%
34°C
8%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from AEMET and supporting models indicate clear skies and light variable winds over Madrid on September 13, supporting a maximum temperature centered on 32–33 °C. These conditions reflect a continuation of the current warming trend under high pressure, with afternoon readings expected to exceed the 1991–2020 climatological average of 27.1 °C but remain below historical extremes for the date. Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and modest diurnal ranges, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around the two leading outcomes. Any late adjustments from the next AEMET update or refined high-resolution runs could shift implied probabilities between the 32 °C and 33 °C bins before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання