Current ensemble forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate a maximum temperature near 17°C in Moscow on September 13, supporting the 45.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. A ridge of high pressure over central Russia is promoting mostly clear conditions and moderate daytime heating typical for mid-September climatology, when historical averages range 15–18°C. Limited model spread keeps 16°C and 18°C as secondary possibilities at 22.5% and 18.5%, while cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability due to stable steering patterns and absence of strong frontal systems. Final verification will rely on official Roshydromet observations at the primary Moscow station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on September 13?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 13?
17°C 46%
16°C 22%
18°C 19%
19°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 13, 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
22%
17°C
46%
18°C
19%
19°C
5%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
17°C 46%
16°C 22%
18°C 19%
19°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 13, 2026
13°C or below
$223 Обс.
1%
14°C
$95 Обс.
2%
15°C
$48 Обс.
4%
16°C
$132 Обс.
22%
17°C
$699 Обс.
46%
18°C
$230 Обс.
19%
19°C
$197 Обс.
5%
20°C
$214 Обс.
3%
21°C
$53 Обс.
2%
22°C
$134 Обс.
<1%
23°C or higher
$144 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate a maximum temperature near 17°C in Moscow on September 13, supporting the 45.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. A ridge of high pressure over central Russia is promoting mostly clear conditions and moderate daytime heating typical for mid-September climatology, when historical averages range 15–18°C. Limited model spread keeps 16°C and 18°C as secondary possibilities at 22.5% and 18.5%, while cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability due to stable steering patterns and absence of strong frontal systems. Final verification will rely on official Roshydromet observations at the primary Moscow station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,168Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate a maximum temperature near 17°C in Moscow on September 13, supporting the 45.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. A ridge of high pressure over central Russia is promoting mostly clear conditions and moderate daytime heating typical for mid-September climatology, when historical averages range 15–18°C. Limited model spread keeps 16°C and 18°C as secondary possibilities at 22.5% and 18.5%, while cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability due to stable steering patterns and absence of strong frontal systems. Final verification will rely on official Roshydromet observations at the primary Moscow station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,168Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate a maximum temperature near 17°C in Moscow on September 13, supporting the 45.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. A ridge of high pressure over central Russia is promoting mostly clear conditions and moderate daytime heating typical for mid-September climatology, when historical averages range 15–18°C. Limited model spread keeps 16°C and 18°C as secondary possibilities at 22.5% and 18.5%, while cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability due to stable steering patterns and absence of strong frontal systems. Final verification will rely on official Roshydromet observations at the primary Moscow station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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