Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime low of 6°C in Moscow on September 13 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 4–9 m/s, and no precipitation, aligning precisely with the 99% market-implied probability for that outcome. Radiative cooling under limited cloud cover and moderate pressure around 750 mmHg supports this minimum, consistent with seasonal norms near 8°C but tempered by current synoptic patterns. Model consensus across sources shows little deviation expected through the overnight period. A shift toward increased cloudiness or altered steering winds could limit cooling and push the low higher, though such revisions appear improbable given the stability of recent guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Moscow on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 13?
6°C 99%
2°C or below <1%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
$3,475 Обс.
$3,475 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
2°C or below
1%
3°C
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
99%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C or higher
<1%
6°C 99%
2°C or below <1%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
$3,475 Обс.
$3,475 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
2°C or below
$0 Обс.
1%
3°C
$65 Обс.
1%
4°C
$5 Обс.
1%
5°C
$125 Обс.
1%
6°C
$709 Обс.
99%
7°C
$232 Обс.
<1%
8°C
$217 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$133 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$1,975 Обс.
<1%
12°C or higher
$15 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime low of 6°C in Moscow on September 13 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 4–9 m/s, and no precipitation, aligning precisely with the 99% market-implied probability for that outcome. Radiative cooling under limited cloud cover and moderate pressure around 750 mmHg supports this minimum, consistent with seasonal norms near 8°C but tempered by current synoptic patterns. Model consensus across sources shows little deviation expected through the overnight period. A shift toward increased cloudiness or altered steering winds could limit cooling and push the low higher, though such revisions appear improbable given the stability of recent guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,475Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime low of 6°C in Moscow on September 13 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 4–9 m/s, and no precipitation, aligning precisely with the 99% market-implied probability for that outcome. Radiative cooling under limited cloud cover and moderate pressure around 750 mmHg supports this minimum, consistent with seasonal norms near 8°C but tempered by current synoptic patterns. Model consensus across sources shows little deviation expected through the overnight period. A shift toward increased cloudiness or altered steering winds could limit cooling and push the low higher, though such revisions appear improbable given the stability of recent guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,475Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime low of 6°C in Moscow on September 13 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 4–9 m/s, and no precipitation, aligning precisely with the 99% market-implied probability for that outcome. Radiative cooling under limited cloud cover and moderate pressure around 750 mmHg supports this minimum, consistent with seasonal norms near 8°C but tempered by current synoptic patterns. Model consensus across sources shows little deviation expected through the overnight period. A shift toward increased cloudiness or altered steering winds could limit cooling and push the low higher, though such revisions appear improbable given the stability of recent guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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