Forecast models from Météo-France and European centers indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C in Paris on September 15 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with daytime highs reaching 30–32°C. This setup reflects a transient warm anomaly driven by high pressure and advection of milder Atlantic air, several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 11.6°C. Overnight radiative cooling will be limited by residual humidity and winds of 5–10 km/h, while small model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between 15°C and 18°C outcomes that currently dominate trader probabilities. Updated runs from the 12 UTC cycle and any shift in the approaching northwest flow will refine the exact low before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 15?
15°C 21%
16°C 21%
17°C 17%
14°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
11°C or below
3%
12°C
3%
13°C
12%
14°C
17%
15°C
21%
16°C
21%
17°C
17%
18°C
16%
19°C
12%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
1%
15°C 21%
16°C 21%
17°C 17%
14°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
11°C or below
$10 Обс.
3%
12°C
$10 Обс.
3%
13°C
$5 Обс.
12%
14°C
$0 Обс.
17%
15°C
$0 Обс.
21%
16°C
$0 Обс.
21%
17°C
$0 Обс.
17%
18°C
$0 Обс.
16%
19°C
$0 Обс.
12%
20°C
$0 Обс.
2%
21°C or higher
$10 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Météo-France and European centers indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C in Paris on September 15 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with daytime highs reaching 30–32°C. This setup reflects a transient warm anomaly driven by high pressure and advection of milder Atlantic air, several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 11.6°C. Overnight radiative cooling will be limited by residual humidity and winds of 5–10 km/h, while small model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between 15°C and 18°C outcomes that currently dominate trader probabilities. Updated runs from the 12 UTC cycle and any shift in the approaching northwest flow will refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$35Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Météo-France and European centers indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C in Paris on September 15 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with daytime highs reaching 30–32°C. This setup reflects a transient warm anomaly driven by high pressure and advection of milder Atlantic air, several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 11.6°C. Overnight radiative cooling will be limited by residual humidity and winds of 5–10 km/h, while small model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between 15°C and 18°C outcomes that currently dominate trader probabilities. Updated runs from the 12 UTC cycle and any shift in the approaching northwest flow will refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$35Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Météo-France and European centers indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C in Paris on September 15 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with daytime highs reaching 30–32°C. This setup reflects a transient warm anomaly driven by high pressure and advection of milder Atlantic air, several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 11.6°C. Overnight radiative cooling will be limited by residual humidity and winds of 5–10 km/h, while small model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between 15°C and 18°C outcomes that currently dominate trader probabilities. Updated runs from the 12 UTC cycle and any shift in the approaching northwest flow will refine the exact low before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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