Recent forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and GFS indicate a mild overnight low for Paris on September 13, 2026, centered near 15°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge limiting radiative cooling. This setup supports the market's leading implied probabilities for 14–15°C, with traders pricing in modest uncertainty from potential model adjustments or localized urban heat effects. Historical September averages hover near 12°C, but the current warmer air mass and low precipitation risk keep colder outcomes below 13°C at under 25% combined. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 12–24 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on September 13?
14°C 42%
15°C 29%
13°C 16%
16°C 12%
9°C or below
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
6%
12°C
6%
13°C
16%
14°C
42%
15°C
29%
16°C
12%
17°C
12%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
2%
14°C 42%
15°C 29%
13°C 16%
16°C 12%
9°C or below
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
6%
12°C
6%
13°C
16%
14°C
42%
15°C
29%
16°C
12%
17°C
12%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and GFS indicate a mild overnight low for Paris on September 13, 2026, centered near 15°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge limiting radiative cooling. This setup supports the market's leading implied probabilities for 14–15°C, with traders pricing in modest uncertainty from potential model adjustments or localized urban heat effects. Historical September averages hover near 12°C, but the current warmer air mass and low precipitation risk keep colder outcomes below 13°C at under 25% combined. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 12–24 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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