Recent forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a highest temperature near 22–23°C for Istanbul on September 13, driven by northerly winds, increasing cloud cover, and a modest chance of light showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with seasonal norms of roughly 23–24°C while introducing modest cooling from partial cloudiness and elevated humidity near 70%. Trader consensus, reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 22°C and 27.5% for 23°C, incorporates remaining uncertainty in model timing of any precipitation and exact wind speeds, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler extremes. Updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the final maximum reading used for market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 13?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 13?
22°C 57%
23°C 28%
21°C 12%
24°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 13, 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
12%
22°C
57%
23°C
28%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 57%
23°C 28%
21°C 12%
24°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 13, 2026
20°C or below
$143 Обс.
2%
21°C
$403 Обс.
12%
22°C
$621 Обс.
57%
23°C
$338 Обс.
28%
24°C
$140 Обс.
5%
25°C
$271 Обс.
2%
26°C
$241 Обс.
1%
27°C
$172 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$252 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$169 Обс.
<1%
30°C or higher
$163 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a highest temperature near 22–23°C for Istanbul on September 13, driven by northerly winds, increasing cloud cover, and a modest chance of light showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with seasonal norms of roughly 23–24°C while introducing modest cooling from partial cloudiness and elevated humidity near 70%. Trader consensus, reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 22°C and 27.5% for 23°C, incorporates remaining uncertainty in model timing of any precipitation and exact wind speeds, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler extremes. Updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the final maximum reading used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,914Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a highest temperature near 22–23°C for Istanbul on September 13, driven by northerly winds, increasing cloud cover, and a modest chance of light showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with seasonal norms of roughly 23–24°C while introducing modest cooling from partial cloudiness and elevated humidity near 70%. Trader consensus, reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 22°C and 27.5% for 23°C, incorporates remaining uncertainty in model timing of any precipitation and exact wind speeds, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler extremes. Updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the final maximum reading used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,914Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a highest temperature near 22–23°C for Istanbul on September 13, driven by northerly winds, increasing cloud cover, and a modest chance of light showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with seasonal norms of roughly 23–24°C while introducing modest cooling from partial cloudiness and elevated humidity near 70%. Trader consensus, reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 22°C and 27.5% for 23°C, incorporates remaining uncertainty in model timing of any precipitation and exact wind speeds, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler extremes. Updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the final maximum reading used for market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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