Current ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global models indicate a high near 16°C for Helsinki on September 15 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, consistent with September climatology of roughly 15.5°C. This positions 16°C as a central resolution candidate, though the 48.5% implied probability on 21°C or higher reflects trader weighting of potential model spread, late warm advection, or measurement uncertainty at the official station. Stable high pressure and absence of strong cold-air intrusions support the mild baseline, while upcoming 48-hour model updates and any shifts in 850 hPa temperatures will refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Helsinki on September 15?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on September 15?
16°C 34%
18°C 29%
19°C 29%
17°C 25%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
11°C or below
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
5%
14°C
7%
15°C
23%
16°C
34%
17°C
25%
18°C
29%
19°C
29%
20°C
5%
21°C or higher
6%
16°C 34%
18°C 29%
19°C 29%
17°C 25%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
11°C or below
$10 Обс.
2%
12°C
$10 Обс.
3%
13°C
$10 Обс.
5%
14°C
$0 Обс.
7%
15°C
$0 Обс.
23%
16°C
$0 Обс.
34%
17°C
$0 Обс.
25%
18°C
$10 Обс.
29%
19°C
$10 Обс.
29%
20°C
$10 Обс.
5%
21°C or higher
$10 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global models indicate a high near 16°C for Helsinki on September 15 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, consistent with September climatology of roughly 15.5°C. This positions 16°C as a central resolution candidate, though the 48.5% implied probability on 21°C or higher reflects trader weighting of potential model spread, late warm advection, or measurement uncertainty at the official station. Stable high pressure and absence of strong cold-air intrusions support the mild baseline, while upcoming 48-hour model updates and any shifts in 850 hPa temperatures will refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 13, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
Обсяг
$70Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 12:59 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global models indicate a high near 16°C for Helsinki on September 15 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, consistent with September climatology of roughly 15.5°C. This positions 16°C as a central resolution candidate, though the 48.5% implied probability on 21°C or higher reflects trader weighting of potential model spread, late warm advection, or measurement uncertainty at the official station. Stable high pressure and absence of strong cold-air intrusions support the mild baseline, while upcoming 48-hour model updates and any shifts in 850 hPa temperatures will refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$70Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 12:59 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global models indicate a high near 16°C for Helsinki on September 15 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, consistent with September climatology of roughly 15.5°C. This positions 16°C as a central resolution candidate, though the 48.5% implied probability on 21°C or higher reflects trader weighting of potential model spread, late warm advection, or measurement uncertainty at the official station. Stable high pressure and absence of strong cold-air intrusions support the mild baseline, while upcoming 48-hour model updates and any shifts in 850 hPa temperatures will refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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