**Latest numerical weather prediction models point to a daytime maximum of 31–33°C in Panama City on September 16, reflecting typical wet-season conditions during the peak of the rainy season.** Equatorial solar insolation remains strong, but persistent high humidity, scattered convection, and variable cloud cover—often tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone—limit extreme heating while favoring afternoon showers that can suppress the peak by 1–2°C. Official guidance and ensemble consensus cluster around 32°C as the most probable outcome, consistent with historical September averages near 30°C and recent model runs showing modest steering flow from the north. Traders have priced the narrow 31–33°C band at roughly 86% implied probability because small shifts in timing or intensity of convection could easily move the daily high by a degree or two before final observations are recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Panama City on September 16?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 16?
32°C 46%
33°C 24%
31°C 19%
29°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
7%
31°C
19%
32°C
46%
33°C
24%
34°C
8%
35°C or higher
2%
32°C 46%
33°C 24%
31°C 19%
29°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
$491 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$256 Обс.
1%
27°C
$276 Обс.
1%
28°C
$0 Обс.
1%
29°C
$0 Обс.
9%
30°C
$977 Обс.
7%
31°C
$723 Обс.
19%
32°C
$477 Обс.
46%
33°C
$489 Обс.
24%
34°C
$0 Обс.
8%
35°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather prediction models point to a daytime maximum of 31–33°C in Panama City on September 16, reflecting typical wet-season conditions during the peak of the rainy season.** Equatorial solar insolation remains strong, but persistent high humidity, scattered convection, and variable cloud cover—often tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone—limit extreme heating while favoring afternoon showers that can suppress the peak by 1–2°C. Official guidance and ensemble consensus cluster around 32°C as the most probable outcome, consistent with historical September averages near 30°C and recent model runs showing modest steering flow from the north. Traders have priced the narrow 31–33°C band at roughly 86% implied probability because small shifts in timing or intensity of convection could easily move the daily high by a degree or two before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,668Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather prediction models point to a daytime maximum of 31–33°C in Panama City on September 16, reflecting typical wet-season conditions during the peak of the rainy season.** Equatorial solar insolation remains strong, but persistent high humidity, scattered convection, and variable cloud cover—often tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone—limit extreme heating while favoring afternoon showers that can suppress the peak by 1–2°C. Official guidance and ensemble consensus cluster around 32°C as the most probable outcome, consistent with historical September averages near 30°C and recent model runs showing modest steering flow from the north. Traders have priced the narrow 31–33°C band at roughly 86% implied probability because small shifts in timing or intensity of convection could easily move the daily high by a degree or two before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,668Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Latest numerical weather prediction models point to a daytime maximum of 31–33°C in Panama City on September 16, reflecting typical wet-season conditions during the peak of the rainy season.** Equatorial solar insolation remains strong, but persistent high humidity, scattered convection, and variable cloud cover—often tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone—limit extreme heating while favoring afternoon showers that can suppress the peak by 1–2°C. Official guidance and ensemble consensus cluster around 32°C as the most probable outcome, consistent with historical September averages near 30°C and recent model runs showing modest steering flow from the north. Traders have priced the narrow 31–33°C band at roughly 86% implied probability because small shifts in timing or intensity of convection could easily move the daily high by a degree or two before final observations are recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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