Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City on September 15 centers on typical wet-season patterns, where nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light trade winds produces minimums near 24–26°C. Recent observational data and model consensus from regional monitoring indicated stable humidity levels above 80% and minimal frontal influence, supporting the elevated 62.5% implied probability on 26°C while keeping 22–23°C outcomes competitive at roughly 50% each. Diurnal ranges remained compressed by persistent cloud cover and afternoon convection, aligning with climatological September averages around 24°C lows. Updated surface observations and short-range forecasts released late on the 15th reinforced these bounds without significant downward revisions, limiting odds on extremes below 21°C or above 27°C to near zero.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Panama City on September 15?
26°C 100.0%
22°C 1.0%
23°C 1.0%
24°C 1.0%
$857 Обс.
$857 Обс.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C 1.0%
23°C 1.0%
24°C 1.0%
$857 Обс.
$857 Обс.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City on September 15 centers on typical wet-season patterns, where nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light trade winds produces minimums near 24–26°C. Recent observational data and model consensus from regional monitoring indicated stable humidity levels above 80% and minimal frontal influence, supporting the elevated 62.5% implied probability on 26°C while keeping 22–23°C outcomes competitive at roughly 50% each. Diurnal ranges remained compressed by persistent cloud cover and afternoon convection, aligning with climatological September averages around 24°C lows. Updated surface observations and short-range forecasts released late on the 15th reinforced these bounds without significant downward revisions, limiting odds on extremes below 21°C or above 27°C to near zero.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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