**Persistent autumn rain onset and associated cloud cover are the dominant factors keeping market-implied odds nearly even between a highest temperature of 32°C or above (50.0%) and 22°C or below (49.0%).** Chongqing’s 2026 autumn rain period, expected to begin around September 15 and featuring above-average precipitation, has introduced sustained stratiform rainfall and reduced insolation that limits daytime warming compared with the September climatological mean high near 27–28°C. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on highs of roughly 20–27°C for September 18 amid 20–90 mm of rain and high humidity, suppressing peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and blocked solar radiation. Resolution hinges on the precise observed maximum reported by the China Meteorological Administration; any break in cloud cover or delayed rain could allow brief warming toward the upper end of the distribution, while continued heavy precipitation would favor the cooler outcome. Traders are pricing the inherent short-term forecast uncertainty and day-to-day variability typical of the transition season.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 18?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 18?
22°C or below 98%
32°C or higher 50%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
22°C or below
98%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
40%
26°C
40%
27°C
10%
28°C
10%
29°C
10%
30°C
10%
31°C
10%
32°C or higher
50%
22°C or below 98%
32°C or higher 50%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Обс.
98%
23°C
$0 Обс.
39%
24°C
$0 Обс.
39%
25°C
$0 Обс.
40%
26°C
$0 Обс.
40%
27°C
$0 Обс.
10%
28°C
$0 Обс.
10%
29°C
$0 Обс.
10%
30°C
$0 Обс.
10%
31°C
$0 Обс.
10%
32°C or higher
$0 Обс.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent autumn rain onset and associated cloud cover are the dominant factors keeping market-implied odds nearly even between a highest temperature of 32°C or above (50.0%) and 22°C or below (49.0%).** Chongqing’s 2026 autumn rain period, expected to begin around September 15 and featuring above-average precipitation, has introduced sustained stratiform rainfall and reduced insolation that limits daytime warming compared with the September climatological mean high near 27–28°C. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on highs of roughly 20–27°C for September 18 amid 20–90 mm of rain and high humidity, suppressing peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and blocked solar radiation. Resolution hinges on the precise observed maximum reported by the China Meteorological Administration; any break in cloud cover or delayed rain could allow brief warming toward the upper end of the distribution, while continued heavy precipitation would favor the cooler outcome. Traders are pricing the inherent short-term forecast uncertainty and day-to-day variability typical of the transition season.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent autumn rain onset and associated cloud cover are the dominant factors keeping market-implied odds nearly even between a highest temperature of 32°C or above (50.0%) and 22°C or below (49.0%).** Chongqing’s 2026 autumn rain period, expected to begin around September 15 and featuring above-average precipitation, has introduced sustained stratiform rainfall and reduced insolation that limits daytime warming compared with the September climatological mean high near 27–28°C. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on highs of roughly 20–27°C for September 18 amid 20–90 mm of rain and high humidity, suppressing peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and blocked solar radiation. Resolution hinges on the precise observed maximum reported by the China Meteorological Administration; any break in cloud cover or delayed rain could allow brief warming toward the upper end of the distribution, while continued heavy precipitation would favor the cooler outcome. Traders are pricing the inherent short-term forecast uncertainty and day-to-day variability typical of the transition season.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent autumn rain onset and associated cloud cover are the dominant factors keeping market-implied odds nearly even between a highest temperature of 32°C or above (50.0%) and 22°C or below (49.0%).** Chongqing’s 2026 autumn rain period, expected to begin around September 15 and featuring above-average precipitation, has introduced sustained stratiform rainfall and reduced insolation that limits daytime warming compared with the September climatological mean high near 27–28°C. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on highs of roughly 20–27°C for September 18 amid 20–90 mm of rain and high humidity, suppressing peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and blocked solar radiation. Resolution hinges on the precise observed maximum reported by the China Meteorological Administration; any break in cloud cover or delayed rain could allow brief warming toward the upper end of the distribution, while continued heavy precipitation would favor the cooler outcome. Traders are pricing the inherent short-term forecast uncertainty and day-to-day variability typical of the transition season.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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