Forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate a high near 79°F in New York City on September 16 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and high pressure, positioning the 78-79°F bin as the market leader at 62% implied probability. These conditions align with seasonal norms slightly above the 76°F historical average high, with minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal activity expected to limit daytime heating or introduce cooling precipitation. Recent model runs show tight consensus around the upper 70s to low 80s, supporting the secondary 80-81°F outcome at 25% while keeping lower bins like 76-77°F at just 15.5%. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine the final maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on September 16?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 16?
78-79°F 59%
80-81°F 24%
76-77°F 16%
82-83°F <1%
НОВЕ
$28,799 Обс.
НОВЕ
$28,799 Обс.
Sep 16, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
59%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 59%
80-81°F 24%
76-77°F 16%
82-83°F <1%
НОВЕ
$28,799 Обс.
НОВЕ
$28,799 Обс.
Sep 16, 2026
69°F or below
$857 Обс.
<1%
70-71°F
$248 Обс.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,168 Обс.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,727 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$5,030 Обс.
16%
78-79°F
$7,705 Обс.
59%
80-81°F
$7,209 Обс.
24%
82-83°F
$2,533 Обс.
1%
84-85°F
$1,792 Обс.
<1%
86-87°F
$255 Обс.
<1%
88°F or higher
$273 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate a high near 79°F in New York City on September 16 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and high pressure, positioning the 78-79°F bin as the market leader at 62% implied probability. These conditions align with seasonal norms slightly above the 76°F historical average high, with minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal activity expected to limit daytime heating or introduce cooling precipitation. Recent model runs show tight consensus around the upper 70s to low 80s, supporting the secondary 80-81°F outcome at 25% while keeping lower bins like 76-77°F at just 15.5%. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2026, 2:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$28,799Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 2:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate a high near 79°F in New York City on September 16 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and high pressure, positioning the 78-79°F bin as the market leader at 62% implied probability. These conditions align with seasonal norms slightly above the 76°F historical average high, with minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal activity expected to limit daytime heating or introduce cooling precipitation. Recent model runs show tight consensus around the upper 70s to low 80s, supporting the secondary 80-81°F outcome at 25% while keeping lower bins like 76-77°F at just 15.5%. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$28,799Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 2:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate a high near 79°F in New York City on September 16 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and high pressure, positioning the 78-79°F bin as the market leader at 62% implied probability. These conditions align with seasonal norms slightly above the 76°F historical average high, with minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal activity expected to limit daytime heating or introduce cooling precipitation. Recent model runs show tight consensus around the upper 70s to low 80s, supporting the secondary 80-81°F outcome at 25% while keeping lower bins like 76-77°F at just 15.5%. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine the final maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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