Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models indicate an overnight low near 77°F for Austin on September 16 under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds, keeping the daily minimum in the mid-to-upper 70s. Trader sentiment reflects tight spreads across 74–79°F bins because small variations in radiative cooling rates, surface dew points near 75°F, and any increase in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact minimum by 2–4°F. Persistent upper-level ridging and above-normal humidity suppress typical September nocturnal drops, elevating odds relative to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 68°F, while model consensus on steering patterns limits downside risk below 70°F ahead of the next forecast update.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Austin on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Austin on September 16?
69°F or below 92%
88°F or higher 80%
74-75°F 40%
78-79°F 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 16, 2026
69°F or below
92%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
35%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
13%
88°F or higher
80%
69°F or below 92%
88°F or higher 80%
74-75°F 40%
78-79°F 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 16, 2026
69°F or below
$0 Обс.
92%
70-71°F
$567 Обс.
9%
72-73°F
$50 Обс.
22%
74-75°F
$6 Обс.
35%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
27%
78-79°F
$0 Обс.
39%
80-81°F
$0 Обс.
39%
82-83°F
$0 Обс.
17%
84-85°F
$0 Обс.
17%
86-87°F
$0 Обс.
13%
88°F or higher
$0 Обс.
80%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models indicate an overnight low near 77°F for Austin on September 16 under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds, keeping the daily minimum in the mid-to-upper 70s. Trader sentiment reflects tight spreads across 74–79°F bins because small variations in radiative cooling rates, surface dew points near 75°F, and any increase in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact minimum by 2–4°F. Persistent upper-level ridging and above-normal humidity suppress typical September nocturnal drops, elevating odds relative to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 68°F, while model consensus on steering patterns limits downside risk below 70°F ahead of the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$623Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models indicate an overnight low near 77°F for Austin on September 16 under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds, keeping the daily minimum in the mid-to-upper 70s. Trader sentiment reflects tight spreads across 74–79°F bins because small variations in radiative cooling rates, surface dew points near 75°F, and any increase in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact minimum by 2–4°F. Persistent upper-level ridging and above-normal humidity suppress typical September nocturnal drops, elevating odds relative to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 68°F, while model consensus on steering patterns limits downside risk below 70°F ahead of the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$623Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models indicate an overnight low near 77°F for Austin on September 16 under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds, keeping the daily minimum in the mid-to-upper 70s. Trader sentiment reflects tight spreads across 74–79°F bins because small variations in radiative cooling rates, surface dew points near 75°F, and any increase in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact minimum by 2–4°F. Persistent upper-level ridging and above-normal humidity suppress typical September nocturnal drops, elevating odds relative to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 68°F, while model consensus on steering patterns limits downside risk below 70°F ahead of the next forecast update.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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