Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 22°C in Paris on September 18, driven by persistent westerly flow and partly cloudy conditions with light winds. This setup aligns with the seasonal norm of around 21°C and supports the market's strong emphasis on 22°C. Updated runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, with afternoon maxima holding steady near 21–23°C and low precipitation risk. Historical data confirm such values fall within typical mid-September ranges, while the absence of blocking patterns or Atlantic fronts reduces odds of warmer or cooler outliers. Traders appear to price in this model consensus ahead of final verification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on September 18?
22°C 55%
23°C 26%
21°C 17%
24°C 10%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
9%
21°C
17%
22°C
55%
23°C
26%
24°C
10%
25°C
7%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 55%
23°C 26%
21°C 17%
24°C 10%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
9%
21°C
17%
22°C
55%
23°C
26%
24°C
10%
25°C
7%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 22°C in Paris on September 18, driven by persistent westerly flow and partly cloudy conditions with light winds. This setup aligns with the seasonal norm of around 21°C and supports the market's strong emphasis on 22°C. Updated runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, with afternoon maxima holding steady near 21–23°C and low precipitation risk. Historical data confirm such values fall within typical mid-September ranges, while the absence of blocking patterns or Atlantic fronts reduces odds of warmer or cooler outliers. Traders appear to price in this model consensus ahead of final verification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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