Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office and regional ensembles show Ankara's September 16 daytime maximum likely peaking at 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and minimal precipitation that limits additional heating. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of modest uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. A recent cool-down from early-month highs above 30°C, driven by northerly flow, supports these values against mid-September climatology of 24–26°C highs at Ankara stations. Overnight model runs and morning surface observations will refine resolution thresholds before final confirmation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on September 16?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 16?
24°C 39%
25°C 33%
23°C 13%
26°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 16, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
13%
24°C
39%
25°C
33%
26°C
9%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 39%
25°C 33%
23°C 13%
26°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 16, 2026
19°C or below
$345 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$268 Обс.
1%
21°C
$101 Обс.
1%
22°C
$117 Обс.
4%
23°C
$329 Обс.
13%
24°C
$609 Обс.
39%
25°C
$951 Обс.
33%
26°C
$1,059 Обс.
9%
27°C
$613 Обс.
4%
28°C
$116 Обс.
1%
29°C or higher
$176 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office and regional ensembles show Ankara's September 16 daytime maximum likely peaking at 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and minimal precipitation that limits additional heating. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of modest uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. A recent cool-down from early-month highs above 30°C, driven by northerly flow, supports these values against mid-September climatology of 24–26°C highs at Ankara stations. Overnight model runs and morning surface observations will refine resolution thresholds before final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,684Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office and regional ensembles show Ankara's September 16 daytime maximum likely peaking at 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and minimal precipitation that limits additional heating. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of modest uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. A recent cool-down from early-month highs above 30°C, driven by northerly flow, supports these values against mid-September climatology of 24–26°C highs at Ankara stations. Overnight model runs and morning surface observations will refine resolution thresholds before final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,684Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office and regional ensembles show Ankara's September 16 daytime maximum likely peaking at 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and minimal precipitation that limits additional heating. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of modest uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. A recent cool-down from early-month highs above 30°C, driven by northerly flow, supports these values against mid-September climatology of 24–26°C highs at Ankara stations. Overnight model runs and morning surface observations will refine resolution thresholds before final confirmation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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