**Recent official forecasts position Miami's overnight low on September 18 around 77–78°F, aligning closely with the market's leading 76–77°F (40.5%) and 78–79°F (27.0%) bins.** Subtropical Miami's typical early-fall overnight lows average near 76.8°F, moderated by the Atlantic's thermal inertia, high humidity, and frequent cloud cover from easterly flow and scattered thunderstorms. Current model consensus and National Weather Service guidance show a stable pattern with northeast to east winds, elevated moisture, and storm chances keeping radiative cooling limited—preventing drops into the low 70s while also capping any unusual warmth. No significant cold front or drier air mass is expected to arrive before resolution, and recent observations confirm persistent upper-70s readings overnight amid similar conditions. Traders appear to weight the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble forecasts around 77°F most heavily, with secondary support for 78°F if cloud cover or dew points remain elevated. Upcoming NWS updates and model runs over the next 24 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Miami on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Miami on September 18?
76-77°F 41%
78-79°F 27%
74-75°F 22%
80-81°F 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
69°F or below
4%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
41%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 41%
78-79°F 27%
74-75°F 22%
80-81°F 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
69°F or below
$0 Обс.
4%
70-71°F
$0 Обс.
7%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
7%
74-75°F
$6 Обс.
22%
76-77°F
$297 Обс.
41%
78-79°F
$510 Обс.
27%
80-81°F
$0 Обс.
16%
82-83°F
$0 Обс.
11%
84-85°F
$0 Обс.
7%
86-87°F
$11 Обс.
1%
88°F or higher
$300 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts position Miami's overnight low on September 18 around 77–78°F, aligning closely with the market's leading 76–77°F (40.5%) and 78–79°F (27.0%) bins.**
Subtropical Miami's typical early-fall overnight lows average near 76.8°F, moderated by the Atlantic's thermal inertia, high humidity, and frequent cloud cover from easterly flow and scattered thunderstorms. Current model consensus and National Weather Service guidance show a stable pattern with northeast to east winds, elevated moisture, and storm chances keeping radiative cooling limited—preventing drops into the low 70s while also capping any unusual warmth.
No significant cold front or drier air mass is expected to arrive before resolution, and recent observations confirm persistent upper-70s readings overnight amid similar conditions. Traders appear to weight the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble forecasts around 77°F most heavily, with secondary support for 78°F if cloud cover or dew points remain elevated. Upcoming NWS updates and model runs over the next 24 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,124Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts position Miami's overnight low on September 18 around 77–78°F, aligning closely with the market's leading 76–77°F (40.5%) and 78–79°F (27.0%) bins.**
Subtropical Miami's typical early-fall overnight lows average near 76.8°F, moderated by the Atlantic's thermal inertia, high humidity, and frequent cloud cover from easterly flow and scattered thunderstorms. Current model consensus and National Weather Service guidance show a stable pattern with northeast to east winds, elevated moisture, and storm chances keeping radiative cooling limited—preventing drops into the low 70s while also capping any unusual warmth.
No significant cold front or drier air mass is expected to arrive before resolution, and recent observations confirm persistent upper-70s readings overnight amid similar conditions. Traders appear to weight the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble forecasts around 77°F most heavily, with secondary support for 78°F if cloud cover or dew points remain elevated. Upcoming NWS updates and model runs over the next 24 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,124Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts position Miami's overnight low on September 18 around 77–78°F, aligning closely with the market's leading 76–77°F (40.5%) and 78–79°F (27.0%) bins.** Subtropical Miami's typical early-fall overnight lows average near 76.8°F, moderated by the Atlantic's thermal inertia, high humidity, and frequent cloud cover from easterly flow and scattered thunderstorms. Current model consensus and National Weather Service guidance show a stable pattern with northeast to east winds, elevated moisture, and storm chances keeping radiative cooling limited—preventing drops into the low 70s while also capping any unusual warmth. No significant cold front or drier air mass is expected to arrive before resolution, and recent observations confirm persistent upper-70s readings overnight amid similar conditions. Traders appear to weight the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble forecasts around 77°F most heavily, with secondary support for 78°F if cloud cover or dew points remain elevated. Upcoming NWS updates and model runs over the next 24 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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