Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a daytime high for Buenos Aires on September 18 near 19–22°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and stable high pressure. This range aligns with the market’s concentration of probability on 22–24°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of modest daytime heating amid variable cloud cover that could suppress or enhance temperatures by 1–2°C. Key variables include the extent of afternoon clearing, which influences solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing; subtle shifts in steering flow that might introduce warmer air advection; and local effects such as urban heat or sea-breeze modulation at the official recording station. With resolution dependent on the precise maximum at a single site, even small forecast adjustments before the 24-hour window closes can shift implied probabilities across the tightly clustered central outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 18?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 18?
23°C 33%
22°C 25%
24°C 17%
25°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
6%
22°C
25%
23°C
33%
24°C
17%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
4%
23°C 33%
22°C 25%
24°C 17%
25°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
16°C or below
$149 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$149 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$199 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$137 Обс.
1%
20°C
$317 Обс.
1%
21°C
$81 Обс.
6%
22°C
$1,439 Обс.
25%
23°C
$220 Обс.
33%
24°C
$362 Обс.
17%
25°C
$483 Обс.
9%
26°C or higher
$196 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a daytime high for Buenos Aires on September 18 near 19–22°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and stable high pressure. This range aligns with the market’s concentration of probability on 22–24°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of modest daytime heating amid variable cloud cover that could suppress or enhance temperatures by 1–2°C. Key variables include the extent of afternoon clearing, which influences solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing; subtle shifts in steering flow that might introduce warmer air advection; and local effects such as urban heat or sea-breeze modulation at the official recording station. With resolution dependent on the precise maximum at a single site, even small forecast adjustments before the 24-hour window closes can shift implied probabilities across the tightly clustered central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,732Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 8:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a daytime high for Buenos Aires on September 18 near 19–22°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and stable high pressure. This range aligns with the market’s concentration of probability on 22–24°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of modest daytime heating amid variable cloud cover that could suppress or enhance temperatures by 1–2°C. Key variables include the extent of afternoon clearing, which influences solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing; subtle shifts in steering flow that might introduce warmer air advection; and local effects such as urban heat or sea-breeze modulation at the official recording station. With resolution dependent on the precise maximum at a single site, even small forecast adjustments before the 24-hour window closes can shift implied probabilities across the tightly clustered central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,732Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 8:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a daytime high for Buenos Aires on September 18 near 19–22°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and stable high pressure. This range aligns with the market’s concentration of probability on 22–24°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of modest daytime heating amid variable cloud cover that could suppress or enhance temperatures by 1–2°C. Key variables include the extent of afternoon clearing, which influences solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing; subtle shifts in steering flow that might introduce warmer air advection; and local effects such as urban heat or sea-breeze modulation at the official recording station. With resolution dependent on the precise maximum at a single site, even small forecast adjustments before the 24-hour window closes can shift implied probabilities across the tightly clustered central outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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