Recent passage of a cold front and associated rainfall through central China has cooled Wuhan, with highs of 24–25°C on September 17–18. Official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Station and Central Meteorological Administration indicate clearing to partly cloudy skies on the 19th under light northerly flow, supporting a rebound to 21–29°C. International model guidance clusters around 28–30°C, consistent with historical September averages near 28°C. Market-implied odds spread across 25–32°C reflect remaining uncertainty in cloud cover, timing of clearing, and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the daily maximum by 1–3°C. New model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 19?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 19?
28°C 40%
27°C 37%
30°C 25%
31°C 24%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
25°C or below
11%
26°C
20%
27°C
37%
28°C
40%
29°C
22%
30°C
25%
31°C
24%
32°C
6%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
2%
28°C 40%
27°C 37%
30°C 25%
31°C 24%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Обс.
11%
26°C
$0 Обс.
20%
27°C
$0 Обс.
37%
28°C
$0 Обс.
40%
29°C
$0 Обс.
22%
30°C
$5 Обс.
25%
31°C
$5 Обс.
24%
32°C
$5 Обс.
6%
33°C
$8 Обс.
3%
34°C
$0 Обс.
2%
35°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent passage of a cold front and associated rainfall through central China has cooled Wuhan, with highs of 24–25°C on September 17–18. Official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Station and Central Meteorological Administration indicate clearing to partly cloudy skies on the 19th under light northerly flow, supporting a rebound to 21–29°C. International model guidance clusters around 28–30°C, consistent with historical September averages near 28°C. Market-implied odds spread across 25–32°C reflect remaining uncertainty in cloud cover, timing of clearing, and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the daily maximum by 1–3°C. New model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$23Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent passage of a cold front and associated rainfall through central China has cooled Wuhan, with highs of 24–25°C on September 17–18. Official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Station and Central Meteorological Administration indicate clearing to partly cloudy skies on the 19th under light northerly flow, supporting a rebound to 21–29°C. International model guidance clusters around 28–30°C, consistent with historical September averages near 28°C. Market-implied odds spread across 25–32°C reflect remaining uncertainty in cloud cover, timing of clearing, and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the daily maximum by 1–3°C. New model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$23Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent passage of a cold front and associated rainfall through central China has cooled Wuhan, with highs of 24–25°C on September 17–18. Official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Station and Central Meteorological Administration indicate clearing to partly cloudy skies on the 19th under light northerly flow, supporting a rebound to 21–29°C. International model guidance clusters around 28–30°C, consistent with historical September averages near 28°C. Market-implied odds spread across 25–32°C reflect remaining uncertainty in cloud cover, timing of clearing, and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the daily maximum by 1–3°C. New model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання