Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS outputs, indicate a high of 21–22°C in Warsaw on September 19 under building high pressure near 1021 hPa, southwesterly flow, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation risk. These conditions favor moderate daytime warming typical for mid-September, slightly above the seasonal baseline of 16–20°C, while stable steering patterns limit variability. Trader sentiment aligns with this consensus, pricing 22°C highest as model runs show consistent maxima in that narrow band, with limited upside potential from unexpected clearing or downside from any residual cloud cover. Updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine exact resolution thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 19?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 19?
22°C 61%
23°C 30%
21°C 27%
19°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
15%
20°C
10%
21°C
27%
22°C
61%
23°C
30%
24°C
11%
25°C
13%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 61%
23°C 30%
21°C 27%
19°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$0 Обс.
4%
19°C
$0 Обс.
15%
20°C
$0 Обс.
10%
21°C
$3 Обс.
27%
22°C
$159 Обс.
61%
23°C
$0 Обс.
30%
24°C
$0 Обс.
11%
25°C
$0 Обс.
13%
26°C
$0 Обс.
2%
27°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS outputs, indicate a high of 21–22°C in Warsaw on September 19 under building high pressure near 1021 hPa, southwesterly flow, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation risk. These conditions favor moderate daytime warming typical for mid-September, slightly above the seasonal baseline of 16–20°C, while stable steering patterns limit variability. Trader sentiment aligns with this consensus, pricing 22°C highest as model runs show consistent maxima in that narrow band, with limited upside potential from unexpected clearing or downside from any residual cloud cover. Updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine exact resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$162Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS outputs, indicate a high of 21–22°C in Warsaw on September 19 under building high pressure near 1021 hPa, southwesterly flow, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation risk. These conditions favor moderate daytime warming typical for mid-September, slightly above the seasonal baseline of 16–20°C, while stable steering patterns limit variability. Trader sentiment aligns with this consensus, pricing 22°C highest as model runs show consistent maxima in that narrow band, with limited upside potential from unexpected clearing or downside from any residual cloud cover. Updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine exact resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$162Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS outputs, indicate a high of 21–22°C in Warsaw on September 19 under building high pressure near 1021 hPa, southwesterly flow, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation risk. These conditions favor moderate daytime warming typical for mid-September, slightly above the seasonal baseline of 16–20°C, while stable steering patterns limit variability. Trader sentiment aligns with this consensus, pricing 22°C highest as model runs show consistent maxima in that narrow band, with limited upside potential from unexpected clearing or downside from any residual cloud cover. Updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine exact resolution thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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