Recent forecast models from MetService, Met Office, and other agencies point to a daytime high of 13–14°C in Wellington on September 17 under a moist northerly flow ahead of a southerly change, with widespread rain and gusty winds limiting daytime warming. This aligns with early spring climatology, where average September maxima hover near 12.5–13°C, and current model consensus shows little support for exceeding 15°C. Trader positioning heavily favors 15°C (63% implied probability) over 14°C (30.5%), reflecting minor upside bias from ensemble spreads or localized urban heat effects, while lower outcomes remain sidelined absent cooler model runs. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will refine resolution around official maximum readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on September 17?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 17?
15°C 64%
14°C 26%
13°C 6%
16°C 5%
НОВЕ
$11,204 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,204 Обс.
Sep 17, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
6%
14°C
26%
15°C
64%
16°C
5%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 64%
14°C 26%
13°C 6%
16°C 5%
НОВЕ
$11,204 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,204 Обс.
Sep 17, 2026
9°C or below
$261 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$194 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$449 Обс.
1%
12°C
$236 Обс.
2%
13°C
$829 Обс.
6%
14°C
$6,222 Обс.
26%
15°C
$2,269 Обс.
64%
16°C
$898 Обс.
5%
17°C
$325 Обс.
1%
18°C
$378 Обс.
<1%
19°C or higher
$399 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from MetService, Met Office, and other agencies point to a daytime high of 13–14°C in Wellington on September 17 under a moist northerly flow ahead of a southerly change, with widespread rain and gusty winds limiting daytime warming. This aligns with early spring climatology, where average September maxima hover near 12.5–13°C, and current model consensus shows little support for exceeding 15°C. Trader positioning heavily favors 15°C (63% implied probability) over 14°C (30.5%), reflecting minor upside bias from ensemble spreads or localized urban heat effects, while lower outcomes remain sidelined absent cooler model runs. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will refine resolution around official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$11,204Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from MetService, Met Office, and other agencies point to a daytime high of 13–14°C in Wellington on September 17 under a moist northerly flow ahead of a southerly change, with widespread rain and gusty winds limiting daytime warming. This aligns with early spring climatology, where average September maxima hover near 12.5–13°C, and current model consensus shows little support for exceeding 15°C. Trader positioning heavily favors 15°C (63% implied probability) over 14°C (30.5%), reflecting minor upside bias from ensemble spreads or localized urban heat effects, while lower outcomes remain sidelined absent cooler model runs. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will refine resolution around official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$11,204Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from MetService, Met Office, and other agencies point to a daytime high of 13–14°C in Wellington on September 17 under a moist northerly flow ahead of a southerly change, with widespread rain and gusty winds limiting daytime warming. This aligns with early spring climatology, where average September maxima hover near 12.5–13°C, and current model consensus shows little support for exceeding 15°C. Trader positioning heavily favors 15°C (63% implied probability) over 14°C (30.5%), reflecting minor upside bias from ensemble spreads or localized urban heat effects, while lower outcomes remain sidelined absent cooler model runs. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will refine resolution around official maximum readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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