Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Sao Paulo's overnight low on September 18 will likely settle near 13–16°C under persistent cloud cover and light southeast winds, aligning with the market's leading 15°C outcome at 46% implied probability. September 2026 has already featured unusually cool and record-wet conditions across the region, with temperatures running several degrees below the 12–15°C climatological September minimum average. This pattern favors moderate cooling overnight while limiting extreme drops, though lingering model spread around boundary-layer moisture and exact wind shifts keeps lower thresholds like 9°C or below at 34% and warmer 19°C+ scenarios at 32.5%. Updated National Meteorological Institute guidance and next model runs will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 18?
19°C or higher 53%
15°C 46%
9°C or below 43%
13°C 36%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
9°C or below
43%
10°C
14%
11°C
35%
12°C
34%
13°C
36%
14°C
34%
15°C
46%
16°C
36%
17°C
5%
18°C
5%
19°C or higher
53%
19°C or higher 53%
15°C 46%
9°C or below 43%
13°C 36%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Обс.
43%
10°C
$0 Обс.
14%
11°C
$0 Обс.
35%
12°C
$0 Обс.
34%
13°C
$0 Обс.
36%
14°C
$0 Обс.
34%
15°C
$57 Обс.
46%
16°C
$0 Обс.
36%
17°C
$0 Обс.
5%
18°C
$0 Обс.
5%
19°C or higher
$0 Обс.
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Sao Paulo's overnight low on September 18 will likely settle near 13–16°C under persistent cloud cover and light southeast winds, aligning with the market's leading 15°C outcome at 46% implied probability. September 2026 has already featured unusually cool and record-wet conditions across the region, with temperatures running several degrees below the 12–15°C climatological September minimum average. This pattern favors moderate cooling overnight while limiting extreme drops, though lingering model spread around boundary-layer moisture and exact wind shifts keeps lower thresholds like 9°C or below at 34% and warmer 19°C+ scenarios at 32.5%. Updated National Meteorological Institute guidance and next model runs will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$57Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 8:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Sao Paulo's overnight low on September 18 will likely settle near 13–16°C under persistent cloud cover and light southeast winds, aligning with the market's leading 15°C outcome at 46% implied probability. September 2026 has already featured unusually cool and record-wet conditions across the region, with temperatures running several degrees below the 12–15°C climatological September minimum average. This pattern favors moderate cooling overnight while limiting extreme drops, though lingering model spread around boundary-layer moisture and exact wind shifts keeps lower thresholds like 9°C or below at 34% and warmer 19°C+ scenarios at 32.5%. Updated National Meteorological Institute guidance and next model runs will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$57Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 8:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Sao Paulo's overnight low on September 18 will likely settle near 13–16°C under persistent cloud cover and light southeast winds, aligning with the market's leading 15°C outcome at 46% implied probability. September 2026 has already featured unusually cool and record-wet conditions across the region, with temperatures running several degrees below the 12–15°C climatological September minimum average. This pattern favors moderate cooling overnight while limiting extreme drops, though lingering model spread around boundary-layer moisture and exact wind shifts keeps lower thresholds like 9°C or below at 34% and warmer 19°C+ scenarios at 32.5%. Updated National Meteorological Institute guidance and next model runs will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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