Recent meteorological forecasts from models such as ECMWF and regional guidance indicate Madrid's minimum temperature on September 19 will likely settle near the long-term average of about 15°C, supported by clearing skies, light northeasterly winds, and reduced cloud cover after an earlier frontal passage that briefly lowered readings. Trader consensus near 50% for both sub-12°C and 22°C+ outcomes reflects lingering model spread on nocturnal radiative cooling rates and boundary-layer mixing under stable high-pressure conditions, with key updates from AEMET expected in the next 24–48 hours. Historical September lows average 14.9°C, underscoring the narrow range of plausible outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Madrid on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 19?
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
15°C 39%
16°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
12°C or below
17%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
39%
16°C
19%
17°C
11%
18°C
7%
19°C
5%
20°C
5%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
5%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
15°C 39%
16°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Обс.
17%
13°C
$0 Обс.
40%
14°C
$0 Обс.
40%
15°C
$0 Обс.
39%
16°C
$0 Обс.
19%
17°C
$0 Обс.
11%
18°C
$0 Обс.
7%
19°C
$0 Обс.
5%
20°C
$0 Обс.
5%
21°C
$0 Обс.
5%
22°C or higher
$0 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from models such as ECMWF and regional guidance indicate Madrid's minimum temperature on September 19 will likely settle near the long-term average of about 15°C, supported by clearing skies, light northeasterly winds, and reduced cloud cover after an earlier frontal passage that briefly lowered readings. Trader consensus near 50% for both sub-12°C and 22°C+ outcomes reflects lingering model spread on nocturnal radiative cooling rates and boundary-layer mixing under stable high-pressure conditions, with key updates from AEMET expected in the next 24–48 hours. Historical September lows average 14.9°C, underscoring the narrow range of plausible outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from models such as ECMWF and regional guidance indicate Madrid's minimum temperature on September 19 will likely settle near the long-term average of about 15°C, supported by clearing skies, light northeasterly winds, and reduced cloud cover after an earlier frontal passage that briefly lowered readings. Trader consensus near 50% for both sub-12°C and 22°C+ outcomes reflects lingering model spread on nocturnal radiative cooling rates and boundary-layer mixing under stable high-pressure conditions, with key updates from AEMET expected in the next 24–48 hours. Historical September lows average 14.9°C, underscoring the narrow range of plausible outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from models such as ECMWF and regional guidance indicate Madrid's minimum temperature on September 19 will likely settle near the long-term average of about 15°C, supported by clearing skies, light northeasterly winds, and reduced cloud cover after an earlier frontal passage that briefly lowered readings. Trader consensus near 50% for both sub-12°C and 22°C+ outcomes reflects lingering model spread on nocturnal radiative cooling rates and boundary-layer mixing under stable high-pressure conditions, with key updates from AEMET expected in the next 24–48 hours. Historical September lows average 14.9°C, underscoring the narrow range of plausible outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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