**Trader consensus heavily favors a 17°C low in Amsterdam on September 19, with market-implied odds at 90%, consistent with official forecasts showing overnight minima stabilizing near 16–17°C.** Persistent southwesterly flow from the Atlantic has maintained mild maritime air over the region, with dew points around 15–16°C and cloud cover limiting radiative cooling under moderate winds of 15–25 km/h. Multiple model runs from European and global ensembles converge on this range, with no significant cold-air advection expected before midnight. Historical September climatology for Amsterdam places typical daily minima near 12–14°C, but the current pattern—marked by a +2–3°C anomaly—supports the elevated floor. Key resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded by KNMI stations; any late-evening drop below 16°C would require unexpected clearing, which current guidance does not indicate.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 19?
17°C 90%
16°C 20%
13°C 1.0%
14°C 1.0%
$523 Обс.
$523 Обс.
Sep 19, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
17°C 90%
16°C 20%
13°C 1.0%
14°C 1.0%
$523 Обс.
$523 Обс.
Sep 19, 2026
11°C or below
$41 Обс.
No
12°C
$41 Обс.
No
13°C
$0 Обс.
No
14°C
$0 Обс.
No
15°C
$67 Обс.
No
16°C
$93 Обс.
No
17°C
$44 Обс.
Yes
18°C
$87 Обс.
No
19°C
$42 Обс.
No
20°C
$62 Обс.
No
21°C or higher
$46 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 17°C low in Amsterdam on September 19, with market-implied odds at 90%, consistent with official forecasts showing overnight minima stabilizing near 16–17°C.**
Persistent southwesterly flow from the Atlantic has maintained mild maritime air over the region, with dew points around 15–16°C and cloud cover limiting radiative cooling under moderate winds of 15–25 km/h. Multiple model runs from European and global ensembles converge on this range, with no significant cold-air advection expected before midnight. Historical September climatology for Amsterdam places typical daily minima near 12–14°C, but the current pattern—marked by a +2–3°C anomaly—supports the elevated floor. Key resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded by KNMI stations; any late-evening drop below 16°C would require unexpected clearing, which current guidance does not indicate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$523Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 17°C low in Amsterdam on September 19, with market-implied odds at 90%, consistent with official forecasts showing overnight minima stabilizing near 16–17°C.**
Persistent southwesterly flow from the Atlantic has maintained mild maritime air over the region, with dew points around 15–16°C and cloud cover limiting radiative cooling under moderate winds of 15–25 km/h. Multiple model runs from European and global ensembles converge on this range, with no significant cold-air advection expected before midnight. Historical September climatology for Amsterdam places typical daily minima near 12–14°C, but the current pattern—marked by a +2–3°C anomaly—supports the elevated floor. Key resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded by KNMI stations; any late-evening drop below 16°C would require unexpected clearing, which current guidance does not indicate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$523Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Trader consensus heavily favors a 17°C low in Amsterdam on September 19, with market-implied odds at 90%, consistent with official forecasts showing overnight minima stabilizing near 16–17°C.** Persistent southwesterly flow from the Atlantic has maintained mild maritime air over the region, with dew points around 15–16°C and cloud cover limiting radiative cooling under moderate winds of 15–25 km/h. Multiple model runs from European and global ensembles converge on this range, with no significant cold-air advection expected before midnight. Historical September climatology for Amsterdam places typical daily minima near 12–14°C, but the current pattern—marked by a +2–3°C anomaly—supports the elevated floor. Key resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded by KNMI stations; any late-evening drop below 16°C would require unexpected clearing, which current guidance does not indicate.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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